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Theresa May doesn’t have a Willie and it shows. She urgently and desperately needs a Willie in her government

Theresa May doesn’t have a Willie and it shows. She urgently and desperately needs a Willie in her government

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https://twitter.com/b_judah/status/787616816243871744 If she loses her Chancellor so early in her Premiership, people might infer Mrs May is wholly unsuited to be Prime Minister According to Margaret Thatcher one of the prerequisites of being a successful Prime Minister was “Every Prime Minister needs a Willie.” She was referring to William Whitelaw, her deputy, as she further expanded, “Willie is a big man in character as well as physically. He wanted the success of the Government which from the first he accepted would be…

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Greater love hath no man than this, that he lay down his country for his career.

Greater love hath no man than this, that he lay down his country for his career.

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Greater love hath no man than this, that he lay down his country for his career. Super story by @ShippersUnbound pic.twitter.com/P20Z44xBUh — TSE (@TSEofPB) October 15, 2016 Boris wrote that Brexit could lead to economic shock, Scottish Independence, and Russian aggression 2 days before he backed Brexit. For the last few years I generally kept on advocating that Boris should be laid for the Tory leadership, that advice isn’t going to change for the next Tory leadership contest. It will…

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Chancellor Philip Hammond is said to believe that for the moment he is unsackable

Chancellor Philip Hammond is said to believe that for the moment he is unsackable

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Chancellor Phillip Hammond – said by @jameskirkup to be as emerging as the "Real leader of the opposition" – listening to his leader pic.twitter.com/KXeZwo3zN3 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 5, 2016 Meet the man now being described as the “real leader of the opposition” – There’s an insightful article on the challenges ahead facing the Tories by the Telegraph’s James Kirkup. Surveying the range of hurdles ahead Kirkup makes an interesting observation about Philip Hammond who replaced George Osborne as…

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The big trend: CON and LAB are still failing to win voters from each other

The big trend: CON and LAB are still failing to win voters from each other

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The two big parties are left scrapping over the also rans One of the more remarkable features of the polling in the last parliament was the almost complete inability of both Labour and Conservatives to win voters from each other. Vote shares may have gone up and down but it was gains from and losses to the Lib Dems, UKIP, the Greens and SNP (and non-voters) that was responsible; the direct swing between the big two was negligible. As then,…

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So far no conference or JC re-election bounce for LAB

So far no conference or JC re-election bounce for LAB

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No change at YouGov following events of last week New YouGov hasCON 39LAB 30LD 8UKIP 13Unchanged on last week — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 30, 2016 New findings on TMay TMay's net YouGov "Well/badly" ratings down from +31% on Sep 4 to +24%. By 42% to 26% sample said she "doesn't "care for people like me" — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 30, 2016 YouGov. Is TMay up to the job of being PMYes 52%No 19%40% of GE2015 LAB voters say…

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Meanwhile ahead of the CON conference Ken Clarke goes on the attack over BREXIT

Meanwhile ahead of the CON conference Ken Clarke goes on the attack over BREXIT

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TMay "is running a 'government with no policies", vetern Tory minister Ken Clarke declares https://t.co/LTQLMZkbm2 via @telegraphnews — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 29, 2016 The longstanding pro-European isn’t happy Next in line this conference season are the Conservatives who are in their traditional final place slot. Inevitably BREXIT, what it actually means and the timetable, will dominate and you can expect all sides to be vocal. Kicking off is the former CON leadership contender and Chancellor, the veteran Ken Clarke. In…

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First post-grammar school phone poll sees TMay’s ratings slip 4% & CON lead down 5%

First post-grammar school phone poll sees TMay’s ratings slip 4% & CON lead down 5%

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CON lead drops 5% in latest Ipsos-MORI. UKIP the main gainers CON 40% -5LAB 34% =UKIP. 9% +3LD 6%.-1 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 15, 2016 TMay's net Ipsos-MORI satisfaction ratings down 4% JC's up 1% pic.twitter.com/ReM0Uhv7MX — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 15, 2016 The new PM’s honeymoon appears to be drawing to a close One of the dangers of all polling analysis is to confuse correlation with causation. It is easy to attribute polling changes to the last big…

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George Osborne, the modern day Winston Churchill?

George Osborne, the modern day Winston Churchill?

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Embed from Getty Images If Brexit does turn out be an economic mistake then could country turn to the man who warned about the risks of Brexit? We’ve been here before, a charismatic former Tory Chancellor who warned the country and Tory party against a particular course of action, his counsel was ignored, he was exiled on the backbenches whilst his warnings initially proved to be incorrect. But in the fullness of  time it was proved Winston Churchill was right…

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