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Category: Theresa May

Loose change. The MPs who Theresa May needs to get on board

Loose change. The MPs who Theresa May needs to get on board

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NEW: Theresa May's allies privately concede they are on course to lose the meaningful vote due 12 days from now. Senior Tories are gaming a second vote or another delay. Downing Street insider: “If we have to have the vote 30 times, we will" https://t.co/1VcGLtfnJl — Alex Wickham (@alexwickham) January 3, 2019 Senior ministers are urging May to set a departure date soon after March 29th to convince rebels a new leader can take over the next stage of Brexit…

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Matters of confidence. What to expect if the government loses a vote of no confidence

Matters of confidence. What to expect if the government loses a vote of no confidence

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Care to make it interesting? As if politics wasn’t already volatile enough, the government faces the persistent threat of a vote of no confidence. Jeremy Corbyn made a complete ass of himself and several of his most senior colleagues before the Christmas break with an on-off-on-again-off-again vote of no confidence, but he will have other opportunities. The current government is a minority government, kept in power through the offices of the DUP. Right now, however, the DUP are not happy….

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My Christmas eve bet that TMay will still be PM at the end of next year

My Christmas eve bet that TMay will still be PM at the end of next year

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Moggsy’s failed confidence move gives her 12 months immunity On the day of this month’s confidence vote amongst Tory MPs on Theresa May the PM declared that it was her intention not to lead the party into the next general election. If we stick with the Fixed Term Parliament Act timetable that means any time before the spring of 2022. That might have helped her in fending off Moggsy’s ill-judged move which also provided her with the additional bonus that…

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Which will happen first? TMay to step down as PM or the UK to leave the EU?

Which will happen first? TMay to step down as PM or the UK to leave the EU?

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I rather like this betting market which asks which of the two events will happen first – Theresa May ceasing to be Prime Minister or the UK actually leaving the EU. With uncertainties over both events this is quite a good match. My guess as we get closer to the March 29th article 50 deadline that this will see a fair bit of activity and no doubt the leave EU price will move to the favourite slot if the Theresa…

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With the DUP and Moggsy backing Theresa it looks as though LAB’s confidence move will fail

With the DUP and Moggsy backing Theresa it looks as though LAB’s confidence move will fail

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Sammy Wilson of DUP and Rees Mogg both confirm on record they’ll back PM in a confidence vote if Labour gets its debate — Laura Kuenssberg (@bbclaurak) December 17, 2018 Plot and lost again how does the Corbyn camp assess how this looks to Joanna and Joe Public? Yet another own goal; do they want to win the next election? Do they care they are 4 points behind this wretched Govt and not 15 points ahead? — derek wyatt (@wyattd)…

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The magnificent resilience of TMay ploughing on relentlessly against all the odds

The magnificent resilience of TMay ploughing on relentlessly against all the odds

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And ordinary voters are beginning to give her credit The week before Christmas and the PM looks set to have another uphill task once again this afternoon facing yet again a marathon grilling by MPs after she reports on last week’s abortive mission to Brussels. Her position is very straightforward. The referendum outcome must be honoured but she has been determined to do it in a manner that causes the minimum of damage to the economy. The deal that she…

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Theresa May’s next move

Theresa May’s next move

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  Theresa May’s great political skill, the driving force behind her career, has been the ability to keep her head down. The virtue of ducking out of the firing line is an important one in British politics. When promotion often comes through dead man’s shoes there is a delicate art to making sure others get hit by the flak, of walking through the food fight and coming out only mildly custard-stained. When the other leading figures in your party destroy…

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