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More gloom for Scottish LAB from YouGov – but not quite as bad as Ipsos-MORI

More gloom for Scottish LAB from YouGov – but not quite as bad as Ipsos-MORI

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Times/YouGov Scotland: How much do you trust: Nicola Sturgeon: 48% Gordon Brown: 37% Jim Murphy: 24% David Cameron: 19% Ed Miliband: 15% — Sam Coates Times (@SamCoatesTimes) October 30, 2014 Times/YouGov Scotland How much do you trust Ed Miliband now: (compared with Sept 17) Total Trust: 15% (25%) Total not Trust: 80% (67%) — Sam Coates Times (@SamCoatesTimes) October 30, 2014 Whilst the SNP lead and share of the vote isn’t as impressive as the Ipsos-Mori figures, they will still be delighted with these figures and Labour…

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Alex Salmond fighting a Westminster seat that voted overwhelmingly NO would be a huge gamble

Alex Salmond fighting a Westminster seat that voted overwhelmingly NO would be a huge gamble

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You could see this as an attack line? “You voted NO – now tell him you mean it”? It’s been reported widely that the outgoing SNP leader and Scottish First Minister, Alex Salmond, is thinking about seeking a Westminster seat to fight at GE15. This would mean a return to the Commons. The one he’s said to have his eye is Gordon in Aberdeenshire where the sitting Lib Dem MP, Malcolm Bruce, is standing down. Generally the Lib Dems are…

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LAB heavyweight Jim Murphy becomes the 2-5 favourite to be next Scottish LAB leader

LAB heavyweight Jim Murphy becomes the 2-5 favourite to be next Scottish LAB leader

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Could the ex-LAB defence & Scottish Sec, Jim Murphy solve his party's Scottish crisis? pic.twitter.com/Q6lGRgLNU2 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 26, 2014 There are 41 Scottish LAB seats at stake The key fact to remember when discussing the impact of Scotland on UK politics is that there are 59 seats north of the border of which LAB hold 41. So anything that could weaken the party in the eyes of Scottish voters could have a big impact on GE15. Any…

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The first four results are in – It is looking for great for No

The first four results are in – It is looking for great for No

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Western Isles goes NO 53.4%. (yes 46.4%) Another disappointment for YES as some polls suggested it wld be yes camp's biggest potential win — Ed Conway (@EdConwaySky) September 19, 2014 Ouch. YES fails to win the Western Isles — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 19, 2014 TSE

The early turnout figures shows it will be a record breaking turnout.

The early turnout figures shows it will be a record breaking turnout.

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Turnup figures coming in (not turnout – as includes spoilt ballots) Orkney 83.7%, Clackmannanshire 88.6% — Rob Ford (Britain) (@robfordmancs) September 18, 2014 Inverclyde total ballots cast 87.4 #indyref — Rob Ford (Britain) (@robfordmancs) September 18, 2014 Renfrewshire total ballots cast 87.3% — Rob Ford (Britain) (@robfordmancs) September 18, 2014 Though Dundee’s figure was a surprise Dundee turnout is 78.8%. Its been dubbed "Yes City" – fact turnout is lower than in some other areas could be disappointing for Yes…

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The indyref results thread – As YouGov have a poll out

The indyref results thread – As YouGov have a poll out

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Like the Ipsos-Mori, there’s a small swing to No, as the Betfair price on Yes hits 14.5 YouGov #IndyRef prediction: YES 46%, NO 54% – http://t.co/huG6uJFiJG — YouGov (@YouGov) September 18, 2014 The YouGov poll isn’t an exit poll, but I post it here for the sake of completeness. Nearly 2,000 Scots were contacted by YouGov after they had been to the polling stations. So the polling and the bookies makes for great reading for Unionists, but as ever, we need…

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Good morning Scotland! Will it be different from the polls in the privacy of the polling booth?

Good morning Scotland! Will it be different from the polls in the privacy of the polling booth?

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How millions of Scottish voters fill in this form today will determine the future of the UK. pic.twitter.com/ascFqVwoDW — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 18, 2014 It was in Quebec in Oct 1995 when the separatists lost The final polls from the 1995 Quebec referendum when NO won by a fraction of 1% pic.twitter.com/Kx62Ck5uls — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 18, 2014 Two hours before the polling stations open the Betfair exchange makes NO an 82% chance. Could punters be wrong? — Mike…

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Ipsos-Mori becomes the latest pollster to show the indyref being too close to call

Ipsos-Mori becomes the latest pollster to show the indyref being too close to call

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New @IpsosMORI indyref phone poll Yes 49% (+7) No 51% (-7) http://t.co/ocWIgiYXQr FIeldwork monday and tuesday — The Screaming Eagles (@TSEofPB) September 17, 2014 The changes are since the last Ipsos-Mori poll which was conducted at the start of August, it was before any of the debates, so it is coming into line with the other pollsters, given their track record at the 2011 Holyrood election, it will cause great alarm at Better Together, this is a phone poll, and…

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