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Category: Polls

Corbyn’s LAB closes the gap once again in the October ComRes/Mail phone poll

Corbyn’s LAB closes the gap once again in the October ComRes/Mail phone poll

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ComRes Mail poll finds just 8% saying government should go ahead with Osborne's tax credits plan pic.twitter.com/Tn9KMPKHiw — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 30, 2015 Today's 5% CON lead in ComRes phone poll compares with the13% gap recorded by firm 2 weeks ago in online survey — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 30, 2015 This may ease some jitters within the red team After the GE2015 polling disaster ComRes was the first firm to announce radical changes in its weightings to deal…

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Farage and UKIP the big gainers in the October Ipsos phone poll

Farage and UKIP the big gainers in the October Ipsos phone poll

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Farage up from -5% to +8% in latest Ipsos satisfaction ratings. pic.twitter.com/ZngyB8DhRt — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 26, 2015 Chart with voting figures in latest Ipsos poll pic.twitter.com/MEqe2qbwTp — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 26, 2015 42% say Corbyn and 39% say Cameron should not lead their parties at the general election – Ipsos polling pic.twitter.com/OG9wF1UMQv — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 26, 2015

Ipsos MORI referendum REMAIN lead drops by an astonishing 24 points

Ipsos MORI referendum REMAIN lead drops by an astonishing 24 points

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New Ipsos-MORI phone poll finds REMAIN on 57% to LEAVE 43% on EU referendum. In June the firm had 69-31 for staying. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 22, 2015 Ipsos MORI 14% remain EU referendum lead means once again phone polls more likely to be pro-EU than online. Latest YouGov REMAIN was 1% up — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 22, 2015 By a margin of more than 2 to 1 those sampled by @IpsosMORI say they think REMAIN will win…

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Doing “Best PM” comparisons between Corbyn & Dave is like asking US voters to choose between Obama and Trump

Doing “Best PM” comparisons between Corbyn & Dave is like asking US voters to choose between Obama and Trump

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We all know that David Cameron is not planning to remain as prime minister after the next general election. So the choice will between Corbyn, unless he’s replaced in the meantime, and AN Other. So why is it that pollsters, and presumably their media clients who agree to the form of questioning, continue with best p.m. ratings that include the current prime minister? The findings really don’t have any relevance to the next big election battle in the UK. Thankfully,…

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ComRes: Osborne 6% behind Boris as “best PM” and just a third say that cutting tax credits is necessary

ComRes: Osborne 6% behind Boris as “best PM” and just a third say that cutting tax credits is necessary

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Conservatives have 13 point lead over Labour in new Sunday Mirror / Independent on Sunday Poll pic.twitter.com/zTgDXle97z — ComRes (@ComResPolls) October 17, 2015 39% say Boris would make a better PM than Osborne who is at 33%. But CON voters prefer Osborne to Boris by 48% to 34% CON lead now 13% in latest ComRes online poll for IoS/S Mirror CON 42% LAB 29-1 LD 7=    UKIP 13= No Corbyn bonus there ComRes Cameron & Osborne have and 19 point lead over…

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Corbyn’s LAB gets to within 4% with ICM equalling the party’s best since the general election

Corbyn’s LAB gets to within 4% with ICM equalling the party’s best since the general election

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Wiki list of all GE voting polls since the general election https://t.co/XJa8AXv4HC pic.twitter.com/UoKkR4LNpk — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 12, 2015 This could calm the nerves of those worried about the new leader As the above panel shows there have been precious few voting polls since the general election. Many of the pollsters and those who commissioned them have cut back on their efforts pending the review a what went wrong on May 7th. But some have carried on notably the major…

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Antifrank says what should we think about polling now?

Antifrank says what should we think about polling now?

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Most people were taken by surprise by the general election result in May.  Why?  Well, most people’s expectations were set by the abundance of opinion polls which by election day had settled on a consensus showing the two main parties neck and neck at around 33% or 34%.  The actual result, with the Conservatives on 37% and Labour on 31%, came as a bombshell.  (In fairness to the pollsters, they were not alone – David Cameron reportedly had not written…

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Pollsters need to wake up to the fact that Cameron has said that he won’t serve a third term

Pollsters need to wake up to the fact that Cameron has said that he won’t serve a third term

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The GE2020 choice won’t be DC or JC Last night we saw the release of the monthly ComRes phone poll for the Daily Mail showing the CON lead down 5 to 9%. There was much focus on best PM figures showing Cameron 24% ahead of the new LAB leader. One figure that stood out was that 26% of LAB voters in the survey chose Cameron rather than their new leader. The only problem here is that as we all know…

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