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Introducing the PB/YouGov Favourability Ratings – a new development by the site

Introducing the PB/YouGov Favourability Ratings – a new development by the site

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First survey has Corbyn ahead of Trump, Putin AND Cameron As many will know I am a great fan of leader ratings which I believe are a better pointer to political outcomes than voting intention numbers. There are several different formats. Ipsos-MORI ask about “satisfaction”, Opinium goes for straight approval number while the standard YouGov question is asking the sample whether those named are doing well or badly. The format I like best and the one which the standard in…

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New ComRes Indy/S Mirror poll finds Corbyn a staggering 46% behind Theresa May on net favourability

New ComRes Indy/S Mirror poll finds Corbyn a staggering 46% behind Theresa May on net favourability

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As the table shows May is a net plus 18% while Corbyn a net minus 28%. 80% of Conservative voters are favourable towards Theresa May, compared to 60% who are favourable towards David Cameron and 55% who are favourable towards Boris Johnson. · 43% of 2015 Labour voters are favourable towards Jeremy Corbyn, compared to 30% who are unfavourable towards him. 17% are favourable towards Owen Smith, against 25% who are unfavourable towards him. · With 76% of Britons unfavourable…

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LAB only 7% behind according to YouGov but another, from TNS, has the gap at 13%

LAB only 7% behind according to YouGov but another, from TNS, has the gap at 13%

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And more dreadful rating numbers for the embattled LAB leader With the ballots due to go out in the LAB leadership contest in two and a bit weeks every new poll is going to be looked at in the context of its impact on the race. The main case against Mr. Corbyn is that outside his group of wildly enthusiastic supporters he looks like an election loser. If the party is to have any chance at all, his detractors argue,…

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At the end of April YouGov had Corbyn beating Theresa May by 7% on its “best PM” ratings?

At the end of April YouGov had Corbyn beating Theresa May by 7% on its “best PM” ratings?

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How Britain’s politics have totally changed Back at the end of April when the Tories were totally split on the referendum YouGov tested how Corbyn did in its “best PM” polling against Cameron and a number of possible other contenders for the Tory leadership. The LAB leader trailed the then PM by just 7% and was only 5% behind Boris. Perhaps not remarkably he had a 13% lead over Osborne and what’s interesting now is in the chart – Corbyn…

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Hillary Clinton appears to be doing much better in polls conducted with live interviews

Hillary Clinton appears to be doing much better in polls conducted with live interviews

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“Shy Trump” supporters – possibly? Above is the national WH2016 polling for the past ten days. Clinton’s ahead in all but notice the big difference between those surveys which were conducted by live interviewers over the phone and those which used the internet or automated phone calls to get responses. The trend is clear. Hillary does much better when those sampled are talking to a real person. When that’s not how the poll was conducted we see a different picture….

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Latest WH2016 swing state polls have Clinton equalling or doing better than Obama’s 2012 result

Latest WH2016 swing state polls have Clinton equalling or doing better than Obama’s 2012 result

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We are getting to a stage where the really interesting WH2016 polls are not the national ones but how well Clinton and Trump are doing in the key swing states where White House Elections are won and lost.  This is probably not more than ten and it is where all the intensive campaigning takes pace. It is helpful to show what happened in in Obama-Romney fights in 2012. Michigan was won by Obama with a 9.5% margin in 2012. The…

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ICM blow for Corbyn as he tries to hang on: LAB now 16% behind at lowest level since 2009

ICM blow for Corbyn as he tries to hang on: LAB now 16% behind at lowest level since 2009

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CON 43% (+4) LAB 27% (-2) LD 8% -1 UKIP 13% -1 GRN 4% If other pollsters follow ICM’s 16% CON lead it could create greater clamour for May to call a general election In many ways the latest ICM poll is hardly surprising. The Tories have a new leader who is enjoying a honeymoon period while Labour is in all sorts of trouble with 80% of its MPs saying they have no confidence in their leader. The splits are…

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The battle for Labour appears to be being won by contender with the “assisted place” on the ballot

The battle for Labour appears to be being won by contender with the “assisted place” on the ballot

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Sam Coates- The Times New YouGov LAB members’ polling suggests Corbyn heading for easy victory Last week’s big LAB leadership news was the decision of the party’s NEC that Corbyn, as the incumbent, should not be troubled by the need to find MP/MEP nominations in order to get on the ballot which had been triggered by Angela Eagle. It was always reckoned that he would struggle in that task and the NEC’s decision was clearly vital. Overnight the Times has…

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