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Category: Polls

As the Labour Party’s private research is leaked, there appears to be an inevitability about Corbyn departing before the general election

As the Labour Party’s private research is leaked, there appears to be an inevitability about Corbyn departing before the general election

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Blistering good story by @STJamesl. So BMG focus grouped, Rebecca Bailey-Long, Angela Raynor, and John McDonnell. https://t.co/n6Mf5eEwtr — TSE (@TSEofPB) February 12, 2017 It feels like it is now a question of when Corbyn quits before the next general election, not if. The Sunday Times have a copy of the Labour party’s internal research conducted by their pollsters BMG, it appears there is some succession planning taking place by Corbyn, with a focus group being undertaken on his potential preferred…

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Tory governments age well in the memory. Labour governments turn sour.

Tory governments age well in the memory. Labour governments turn sour.

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No recent Prime Minister was popular as they left office. Each of the last five had net satisfaction scores – the proportion satisfied minus the proportion dissatisfied – below minus 20 points in their final month, according to MORI’s satisfaction data. Thatcher was the most unpopular, with 71% dissatisfied with the job she was doing. The least unpopular was Gordon Brown, who still had the support of 35% before the 2010 election. If the Scotsman’s relative popularity seems surprising, that’s…

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The enthusiasm gap that spells doom for Corbyn and Labour

The enthusiasm gap that spells doom for Corbyn and Labour

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Tory voters love May whereas Labour voters are lukewarm towards Corbyn and that’s bad news for Labour explains Keiran Pedley On this week’s PB / Polling Matters podcast we unveiled some new data courtesy of Opinium. Respondents were asked whether they agreed or disagreed with 6 statements related to Theresa May and Jeremy Corbyn. By subtracting the number that disagreed with each statement from the number that agreed we could create a ‘net agree’ score for analysis purposes. The results…

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When Corbyn first became leader he said winning back Scotland would be a priority, SLAB are now in third place, 12% behind the Tories

When Corbyn first became leader he said winning back Scotland would be a priority, SLAB are now in third place, 12% behind the Tories

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New @Panelbase Scotland Westminster VI poll (changes since Sep 16) SNP 47% (-3) Con 27% (+6) Lab 15% (-1) LD 4% (-1) https://t.co/2lSOn4tOrb pic.twitter.com/qkEbaq90cF — TSE (@TSEofPB) February 5, 2017 From the graphic above, you can see how Scottish Labour have been eclipsed, a little over three years ago, Labour were polling 45%, now they have a third of that support, most of the collapse happened long before Corbyn became leader. I wonder if the Scottish precedent is playing on…

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Theresa May is still the only politician with a net favourable rating with the voters YouGov finds

Theresa May is still the only politician with a net favourable rating with the voters YouGov finds

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YouGov’s latest favourable ratings follows the pattern from the end of November where Mrs May is the only politician with a net positive rating, her lead over Mr Corbyn has widened from 40% at the end of November to 46% now, mostly because Mr Corbyn’s ratings have moved from minus 35% to minus 40%, for this Labour leader it appears things can’t get only better for him and his party. The only positive Labour and Team Corbyn can glean is…

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Lucian Fletcher on the latest Northern Ireland assembly poll

Lucian Fletcher on the latest Northern Ireland assembly poll

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The heat is on… Exclusive insight on state of play for parties ahead of crucial March 2nd vote #AE17 @LucidTalk https://t.co/CpXUbu1rLR — The Sun (@TheSun_NI) February 1, 2017 Arlene Foster’s personal ratings fall through the floor, but the DUP will bank on fear of a Sinn Fein First Minister to keep their position as lead party in Northern Ireland Assembly The first LucidTalk opinion poll ahead of the 2017 Northern Ireland Assembly election has been published and one of the…

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Latest French presidential polling has one-time odds-favourite Francois Fillon failing to make the final two

Latest French presidential polling has one-time odds-favourite Francois Fillon failing to make the final two

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As a Macron Backer I’d like to see other surveys showing same picture There’s no doubt what’s what’s become known as Penelopegate is having a big impact on assessments about who is going to win. The right-wing French Republican candidate has been dominating there polls and betting ever since he won the nomination in November but over the past few days there’s been a huge turnaround. It’s now being suggested that Fillon is damaged goods and might have to be…

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