A report by Celia Hall, Telegraph Medical Editor, says GPs look set to desert Labour at the next general election, according to a poll just published. When more than 1,000 GPs were asked about their voting intentions, only one in 10 said they intended to vote Labour, compared with nearly a third who voted for the Government in 2001. These are the figures compared with a similar survey in 2001: LAB 11 (-19): CON 30 (+4): LD 29 (+3): OTH…
Get invited more and increase your weighting Ten days ago I reported here how in recent surveys the weighting given to Sun readers was almost double that attached to Guardian and Indy readers. After doing that piece I decided to see if I could improve the chances of me being invited to take part in polls by changing the basic information that YG have stored on me and, presumably, is used to determine which of the 50,000+ members on their…
Both the Tories and Labour advance Communicate Research’s monthly poll for tomorrow’s Independent on Sunday shows only minor changes from last month for the two main parties. The headline figures are LAB 41%(+1):CON 34%(+2): LD 17%(-3) This equals the lowest poll figure for more than a year for Charles Kennedy’s party and reflects that all the recent campaign skirmishes have been between the two main parties. CR do not prompt for party choice and do not weight on previous vote…
Mori’s 37% Tory share gives market a boost Today’s Mori poll in the FT has led, inevitably, to money going on the Tories in the spread-betting markets. The shares of LAB 39: CON 37: LD 18 are the best for Michael Howard’s party for years and were only exceeded in the strange circumstances of the 2000 petrol crisis and in the aftermath of David Kelly’s death in 2003. Following on from the improved figures from ICM earlier in the week…
Are Labour’s campaign tactics working? The February MORI poll for the Financial Times has the Tories up 5% to one of their highest levels for a long time. The vote shares with comparisons to the January survey are:- LAB 39: CON 37 (+5): LD 18 (-4). The move to the Tories is in line with the ICM poll on Tuesday and seems partly at the expense of “others” which would appear to be down at 6% – reflecting a big…
Why is Howard beating Blair for female support? With the betting markets moving a notch to the Tories following the Guardian ICM survey further information from the poll, now available, shows the potential big gender gap at the coming election. Interviewees were asked to rate whether a number of leading politicians were “an asset or a liability to their party”. Tony Blair came out with a rating of 45-43 in favour – but there was a huge difference between the…
Is Howard’s campaigning having an impact? The February ICM poll in the Guardian tomorrow shows that Labour’s lead has dropped to 3%. The vote shares with changes on the same poll last month are: LAB 37 (-3) : CON 34 (+3) : LD 21 (n/c). For the Tories this is the best position with ICM since March last year and suggests that Michael Howard’s high-profile initiatives on crime and immigration are making an impact. For Labour the poll will be…
After the poll famine – the feast: we hope! With the opening of the offical campaign for a May 5 General Election only weeks away there’s been a dearth of opinion polls. So far in February there have been just three national surveys and we are now three-quarters of the way through, what is admittedly, the shortest month. Compare that with January when we saw a total of ten polls including five extra surveys beyond the five regular ones that…