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Category: Polls

Another poll has the Tories doing better against Brown

Another poll has the Tories doing better against Brown

What is it about the Chancellor that boosts Tory support? Further details from the March ICM poll in the Guardian show that while the Tories are three points behind Labour they would be running neck and neck if David Cameron was facing Gordon Brown. The main voting intention figures, covered in the previous thread, had CON 34: LAB 37: LD 21 and are the first numbers from ICM since Cameron won the leadership where the Tories are behind. But when…

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ICM puts Labour back into the lead

ICM puts Labour back into the lead

Boost for Blair as MPs prepare to vote on Education Bill According to Channel 4 News the March ICM poll to be published tomorrow in the Guardian shows a big move back to Labour and has the party back in the lead for the first time since David Cameron became Tory leader. The top-line figures announced on the programme had with changes on last month: CON 34 (-3): LAB 37 (+3): LD 21 (nc). The last time Labour enjoyed a…

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Has George found a chink in Gordon’s armour?

Has George found a chink in Gordon’s armour?

Are the Tories onto something by branding Brown as “unpleasant”? I very much doubt if the following statement will receive universal acclaim on PB.C – but with the single exception of three-times election winner Tony Blair I rate the Shadow Chancellor, George Osborne, as the top political strategist in British politics today. He’s very much the brains behind the Cameron team and there can be little doubt that his attack this week on “Brown’s unpleasantness” was pre-meditated and designed to…

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Populus: Brown still 6 points behind Cameron

Populus: Brown still 6 points behind Cameron

But Labour and Tories level pegging on main voting intention The March Populus Poll in the Times has the following top-line voting intention with comparisons on a month ago: CON 35%(-2): LAB 35%(-1): LD 20%(+2). So in terms of lead the Tories and Labour are back to an even position after the Tories were briefly ahead last month. In recent months Populus has been showing Labour doing better against the Tories than the other pollsters with regular monthly slots in…

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BPIX: A Brown-led Labour now level with the Tories

BPIX: A Brown-led Labour now level with the Tories

Polling boost for Chancellor’s wider role The first voting intention poll on how Brown would do against Cameron for two months is out today and shows that Labour and the Tories would be level-pegging on 38% each with the Lib Dems on 13% Unlike last week’s ICM survey in the News of the World and the Sunday Times YouGov poll three weeks ago today’s poll asked a specific voting intention question taking account of the Lib Dems and other parties….

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That secret YouGov poll – the final postscript

That secret YouGov poll – the final postscript

Were respondees conditioned to put Ming number one? With, thankfully, just a few hours to go before the Lib Dem ballot closes the acting leader, Ming Campbell, is now now firmly back in the favourite slot. All the sentiment today has been in his favour and against Chris Huhne who has been odds-on since the only public YouGov members’ poll three weeks ago put him 4% ahead. Part of the weakening of the Huhne position has been based on the…

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Ming backers should check out this Tory poll

Ming backers should check out this Tory poll

Why I’m sticking with YouGov? With a sharp move back to Ming Campbell on the Lib Dem betting markets there’s a lot of focus on the one members’ poll that has been published during the campaign – the survey by YouGov commissioned by a rich Huhne supporter. This showed on first preferences Huhne: 38%: Campbell 34%: Hughes 27%. The run-off figures based on second preferences, eliminating Hughes were Huhne 52%: Campbell 48%. Much has been made of the fact that…

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ICM: Brown rated a “good PM” over Cameron by 45-32

ICM: Brown rated a “good PM” over Cameron by 45-32

But were too many Labour supporters in the sample? In an interesting ICM poll in today’s News of the World Gordon Brown is rated against David Cameron on a whole series of measures including who would make a “good Prime Minister”. In spite of what some of the headlines are saying the question of who would make “best Prime Minister” was not put. This is not a conventional opinion poll; no questions were asked about voting intention; the only options…

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