Will the move by the “Honour the IRA” MP open up the race? The last time that Labour left-winger John McDonnell got big headlines was three years ago when at an event to commemorate the IRA hunger striker, Bobby Sands he is reported to have said: “It’s about time we started honouring those people involved in the armed struggle. It was the bombs and bullets and sacrifice made by the likes of Bobby Sands that brought Britain to the negotiating…
UPDATED 0745 But with Gordon as leader Labour does better than with Tony Blair A new approach in this month’s Populus poll is in the Times, published this morning, provides a better measure of what happens when those interviewed are prompted with the names of the party leaders and their reactions to what they would do if Gordon Brown became leader. The main voting intention from the survey, published yesterday, had CON 36:LAB 34: LD 19 Prompting the respondents with…
Just out – the YouGov daily tracker The above chart is from a seven page report by Anthony Wells of Uk Polling Report showing the results of the YouGov daily tracker on perceptions of leading politicians. The data is based on a daily Brand Index survey of 2,000 people that YouGov carries out for its commercial clients. It shows two ratings for Cameron (blue), Brown (brown), Campbell (yellow), and Blair (red). In each case the thin line represents how well…
Populus shows Tory lead down to two points The seemingly never-ending saga of John Prescott seems to be having almost no impact on the party standings in the latest Populus poll in the Times this morning. These show with comparisons from last month CON 36% (-1): LAB 34 (nc): LD 19% (+1). So the only change being the Tories down a point and the Lib Dems up one. This is in sharp contrast to Sunday’s BPIX poll in the MoS…
ICM gives Labour a boost; YouGov is steady In the wake of the Blaenau Gwent results, Labour supporters must have got some partial comfort from the ICM poll in the Sunday Telegraph this weekend: Labour’s share had recovered by 3% to 35%, just one point behind the Tories on 36% (a 1% drop). The Liberal Democrats were unchanged at 18%. (The changes are relative to ICM’s previous poll published just 12 days before.) The last survey from YouGov, however, as…
Could 1 in 25 Labour supporters switch if there is no Blair? With Tony Blair reported this morning to be ready to announce the date when he will stand down it is worth asking whether this will be all good for the party in the polls. For a close look at detailed findings from this week’s YouGov poll suggests that the Prime Minister has a small but significant personal vote which will not be there when he is gone. These…
And it’s 44-38 on a straight Cameron-Brown choice A new YouGov poll in today’s Daily Telegraph has the following with changes on four weeks ago: CON 39 (+1): LAB 32 (nc): LD 17 (+1). When asked which they would prefer a Cameron-led Tory party or a Brown-led Labour the Tories win 44-38. This compares with a 45-36 lead when asked to choose between a Cameron-led Tory party and a Blair-led Labour. Although these were not voting intention questions but a…
ICM’s data shows Tories leading by 11 points amongst females On the day Labour launched the next stage of its plan to deal with David Cameron ICM released full data from its June poll showing a big gender divide in support for the parties. Delegates arriving to hear the Tory leader’s “family friendly” speech yesterday were greeted at the door by a man dressed up as a Chameleon handing out leaflets. According to the Times “..the costume is terrific and…