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Category: Polls

There’s the potential for Labour to get a long term polling boost because of their anti-semitism issues

There’s the potential for Labour to get a long term polling boost because of their anti-semitism issues

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Chart from polling conducted by YouGov for the Campaign against Antisemitism Older voters are more likely to endorse at least one anti-semitic statement, and remember older voters are more likely turn out to vote. Conventional wisdom suggests that Labour will take a long term hit in the polls because of the recent coverage of their anti-semitism issues but recently we’ve seen conventional wisdom proven to be very wrong, this might be another example. Before anyone accuses me saying older voters,…

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Theresa May now level-pegging with “Don’t know” as to who would make the best PM

Theresa May now level-pegging with “Don’t know” as to who would make the best PM

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Corbyn, as almost ever, trails behind This polling, from the latest YouGov, rather sums up British politics at the moment. When respondents were asked who would make the best prime minister 37% said Mrs May which is exactly the same number who said they didn’t know Neither of the main party leaders is able to show widespread support. On the party splits just 70% of current Labour voters opted for Mr Corbyn. Mrs May gets 90% of Tory ones. Of…

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Why we should look closely at the precise wording of second referendum polling questions

Why we should look closely at the precise wording of second referendum polling questions

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Same poll split sample producing very different responses VERSION ONE:Once the negotiations between Britain and the European Union over a Brexit deal have been completed, do you think there should or should not be a public vote on whether Britain accepts the deal or remains in the EU after all? VERSION TWO Once the negotiations between Britain and the European Union over a Brexit deal have been completed, do you think the public should or should not have a final…

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By 61-19 those sampled by YouGov say it should be legal to use force to kill in defence of home

By 61-19 those sampled by YouGov say it should be legal to use force to kill in defence of home

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Clearly the Hither Green incident has attracted an enormous amount of attention and the news about the background of the person who was killed has also reinforced thinking. The party splits on this are hardly surprising with UKIP backers the most likely to support the notion and Lib Dems voters the least. The older you are, as you might expect the more likely you were in the poll to back the idea. Whether this will actually lead to legislation I…

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So much has been happening politically and yet there’s so little data for us to assess the reaction

So much has been happening politically and yet there’s so little data for us to assess the reaction

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For poll watchers this has been a frustrating period There was a discussion last night on Twitter about the fact that we seem to be seeing so few polls at the moment and this is felt more because so much been happening and those who follow the numbers want to get a sense of whether things are having an impact. How, for instance, is Labour’s vote holding up in the face of the ongoing antisemitism narrative which still rumbles on….

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A year to go till Brexit and the latest YouGov tracker has Britain as divided as ever

A year to go till Brexit and the latest YouGov tracker has Britain as divided as ever

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A year to go and the latest chart based on the YouGov Brexit tracker pic.twitter.com/cqW6hhQL4z — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 29, 2018 Latest YouGov Brexit tracker finds "wrong to leave" once again with a lead.In hindsight, do you think Britain was right or wrong to vote to leave the EU? Right 42% -1Wrong 45% =DK 14% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 29, 2018 Chart with LAB voter split on Brexit tracker in latest YouGov poll pic.twitter.com/gyLXN4NQuo — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB)…

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That Survation 7% LAB lead poll looks very much the outlier – but then so did the firm’s final GE2017 survey

That Survation 7% LAB lead poll looks very much the outlier – but then so did the firm’s final GE2017 survey

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Wikipedia Looking at all the published polls for 2018 that Survation 7% lead survey a couple of weeks back looks and very much out of place. The other best polls for LAB this year were a Survation 3% lead one in January and a similar margin in Ipsos-MORI phone survey with fieldwork starting three days beforehand. In normal circumstances we would just regard the latest Survation as one on its own and concentrate on the latest ICM/Opinium/YouGov which have CON…

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