Updated CON 41(nc) LAB 31(nc) LD 17(+2) Is this too close to hung parliament territory? The March YouGov poll for the Sunday Times is now out and the numbers might cause a touch of concern in Team Cameron and offer a little bit of hope at Brown Central. For taking these numbers and assuming a uniform national swing and we are not far from the outcome being a hung parliament. But I must totally disagree with this statement in the…
PB poll suggests that Brown needs new rhetoric After the assertion here on Friday that a PoliticsHome poll on “Gord saying sorry” was leading the site’s editor, Freddie Sayers, offered PB the chance of its own exclusive polling question. In keeping with the theme the chosen subject area was the repeated use of the term “do nothing” by Labour to describe the Tory stance on the banking crisis and the general economic situation. We only had a very short time…
CONSERVATIVES 42% (nc) LABOUR 30% (+2) LIB DEMS 19% (+1) But should Labour have expected more? Well we now have the first poll since Brown’s visit to Washington and the numbers are above. For the report on the Times website it is not possible to deduce the Lib Dem total but this will be inserted as soon as we get the number. UPDATE – [ConHome now have have this at 19%] As Peter Riddell’s report says these “…figures suggest that…
What will be the size of the Barack boost? One of the consequences of the recession is that newspapers are looking closely at their polling budgets. The result is that we’ve seen far fewer non-scheduled surveys. Fortunately the regular monthly polls are so far unaffected and the next one due is Populus in the Times which hopefully will be out tomorrow night. In February the Tories were on 42 percent 14 ahead of Labour with the LDs on 18 percent….
PoliticsHome Would it have been different if other words had been used? There’s a poll finding out overnight which seems to suggest that voters have had enough with the media and Tory demands for Brown to say “sorry” for his past mistakes on the economy. Labour is taking great comfort in the survey and, indeed, Nick Palmer MP was posting here at 2am to alert us. But is the poll all it seems and is the simplified way the PH…
BBC Online But how long will it last? So there we have it. Brown’s address to Congress with its series of what was it seventeen separate standing ovations. The big question is whether it will help Labour’s standing in the polls. For the whole visit, particularly this event, is being reported in positive terms and there’s little doubt that for a British PM to be seen to be lauded in this way will go down well. My guess is that…
ComRes Independent poll Do bad polls lead to more bad polls? In the final days of last November’s White House race a leading US expert on voter behaviour observed: “Negative feelings about a campaign can discourage voters by making them less likely to go through what can be a painful process: Voting for someone who will lose.†Although we are probably at least a year off voting isn’t that what’s happening with Labour supporters at the moment? They saw in…
CONSERVATIVES 44% (+3) LABOUR 28% (+3) LIB DEMS 17% (-5) But for Nick Clegg’s party it’s back to normal The big news in the last ComRes poll a fortnight ago was a sensational boost for the Lib Dems which had them at 22% – only three points behind Labour. Tonight they are back at 17% which is broadly in line with the other pollsters – the question is whether this represents a change of opinion or is partly down to…