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Category: Polls

Why did 313 Labour MPs ignore this polling?

Why did 313 Labour MPs ignore this polling?

UKPollingReport They can’t claim that it wasn’t all predicted It’s suddenly become fashionable in the Labour party to be a Brown-sceptic. Hardly a day goes by before some new faction within the movement starts raising questions about his style of leadership and electability. Yet they were all warned two years ago.. For in the year before Brown’s coronation a vast body of polling evidence built up that Labour would do much worse with him as a leader than the standard…

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Has Nick Clegg at last found his voice?

Has Nick Clegg at last found his voice?

What are his party’s general election prospects? This will be a day for the Lib Dem leader, Nick Clegg, to savour. For in all the time that he’s been leader this is the first occasion when he came out of PMQs as the clear winner. The anger and ferocity of his attack on Brown for Labour’s inflexible stance on the Ghurka issue hit home on all sides of the house and acted as a good trailer for this afternoon’s debate,…

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Poll: Labour loses half its 2005 voters

Poll: Labour loses half its 2005 voters

Can they be won back by the election? Tucked away in the detailed data of the latest ComRes poll is one scary statistic for Brown Central. A total of 240 of those surveyed said they had voted for the party that was then led by Tony Blair in 2005 – Yet over the weekend when the fieldwork was taking place only half of them, precisely 120, told the pollster that they planned to do so next time. This is the…

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Is this the man who could stop the Tory landslide?

Is this the man who could stop the Tory landslide?

What are we to make of Reid getting involved again? Last Wednesday on budget day a power Labour voice from the past was wheeled out to argue the government’s case in interview after interview. He was powerful, he was lucid and most of all he was persuasive in a way that not one of the current crop Labour front-benchers can manage. Although he might have a bit of back history and is planning to leave the commons at the election…

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How will these look when the expenses are revealed?

How will these look when the expenses are revealed?

CONSERVATIVES 45% (+2) LABOUR 33% (-4) LIB DEMS 16% (+3) YouGov: London moves further to the Tories A new YouGov poll on voting intentions in London is out in tonight’s Evening Standard. The comparisons above are with the last such poll which was published in mid-January. Then it appeared that the swing to Cameron’s party was less than in the rest of the country. That trend is still there though things have got much worse for Labour nationally. Today’s poll…

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YouGov shows almost no change since Friday

YouGov shows almost no change since Friday

UPDATED CON 45(nc) LAB 27(nc) LD 17(-1) At least for Gord it is not getting any worse News is now coming through of the new YouGov poll which is showing almost exactly the same party shares as in yesterday’s Daily Telegraph. The only difference being a oine point decline for the Lib Dems. The poll has been commissioned by the Sunday People. Interestingly like in the earlier YouGov poll there’s broad support for the specific budget measures. The problem is…

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Could this be Labour’s best hope?

Could this be Labour’s best hope?

Ipsos-MORI Will party ratings move in line with economic optimism? This is the latest Economic Optimism Index from MORI which, as can be seen, has very much turned round and this month reached just -2%. This is the best since Mr Brown become prime minister and perhaps from the Labour perspective is the best indicator that they might just be in with a shout. The index is taken by subtracting the negative number from the positive one and the results…

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Remember the sea-change suggested by YouGov last year?

Remember the sea-change suggested by YouGov last year?

UKPollingReport 2008 polls Could we see the same during this election year? Remember the last post-Budget YouGov poll in March 2008? It was so out of line with other surveys at the time that the term “rogue” was used to describe 23 times on the PB thread that night. The immediate conclusion of one of the site’s regular statistician contributors was “.…YouGov has to be treated as a rogue for the moment.. I suspect the true position is still something…

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