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Category: Polls

The danger for LAB is that its equivocation over Brexit could be alienating its GE2017 tactical voters

The danger for LAB is that its equivocation over Brexit could be alienating its GE2017 tactical voters

LAB drops to a its lowest share this parliament There’s a new YouGov poll out this morning that has LAB down at 37% which equals its lowest share in any public poll since GE2017. That this should happen while the Tories are in almost total internal war over the Brexit negotiations might seem surprising. This is just one poll but the overall trend is very clear – we’ve moved from a situation when there were almost solid Labour leads to…

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Survation Brexit anniversary poll has REMAIN 5% ahead

Survation Brexit anniversary poll has REMAIN 5% ahead

Chart – Survation By 48% to 25% those polled want a referendum on the final deal Tomorrow’s the second anniversary of the Brexit referendum and expect a number of polls seeking to gauge opinion now. First out is Survation for Good Morning Britain which finds that if the referendum was rerun today the UK would remain in the EU, for the first time since March with Survation. Leave 47% (-2); Remain 53% (+2) Significant percentages (36%-43%) of respondents have a…

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Despite an overwhelming majority of voters thinking Brexit is going badly, a similar overwhelming majority still expect Britain to leave the EU

Despite an overwhelming majority of voters thinking Brexit is going badly, a similar overwhelming majority still expect Britain to leave the EU

Whether or not you support it, do you think Britain will or will not go ahead with leaving the European Union:All Brits: 70% leave, 15% stayLeave: 77% leave, 13% stayRemain: 69% leave, 18% stay https://t.co/rHXCuZ3WKm pic.twitter.com/jHGXlT8zoB — YouGov (@YouGov) June 8, 2018 On Saturday I alerted PBers to the fact that 70% of voters thought Brexit was going badly, a near identical amount, 73%, expect the Britain to leave the European Union. For those hoping the original polling might be…

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The polling that should give great succour to Trump

The polling that should give great succour to Trump

Ahead of the G7 summit it is worth noting Donald Trump has the second highest 'own party' approval rating after 500 days of any US president in Gallup's archive. Only post 9/11 George W Bush is higher. pic.twitter.com/nZL9nBuUUT — Joe Twyman (@JoeTwyman) June 8, 2018 The above chart I found really interesting. Trump is retaining his support that is unmatched bar by George W Bush, by the hopefully unique set of circumstances that was 9/11. Despite the general hostility directed…

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Theresa May has finally united the country on Brexit

Theresa May has finally united the country on Brexit

What comes closest to your view on how well Brexit is going? All Brits: 10% well, 73% badly Remain: 5% well, 85% badlyLeave: 16% well, 70% badlyhttps://t.co/XV0uSCHH6y pic.twitter.com/0MM6LGCtxg — YouGov (@YouGov) June 7, 2018 An overwhelming majority think Brexit is going badly. Brexit has appeared to be the issue that tears the United Kingdom asunder yet the finding by YouGov shows there’s one aspect that is uniting the country. 73% of the country think Brexit is going badly with even…

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Those who think the SNP are a busted flush might be surprised by the latest YouGov Scotland poll as Labour set to be reduced to just 1 Scottish MP, again

Those who think the SNP are a busted flush might be surprised by the latest YouGov Scotland poll as Labour set to be reduced to just 1 Scottish MP, again

New @YouGov Scotland poll for @thetimesscot. https://t.co/P1mDnCQ5lQ pic.twitter.com/8K8yJFmC1u — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 7, 2018 By my reckoning this is a 2% increase for Yes and 2% decline for No when it comes to Scottish Independence since January. https://t.co/rpi9fvQLJ1 pic.twitter.com/TM1KYIMleZ — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 7, 2018 If you're wondering why Labour is doing badly in Scotland this is why. Corbyn's rating are sinking and so are Richard Leonard's ratings. pic.twitter.com/URakxDBzkh — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 7, 2018 But @RuthDavidsonMSP is still the…

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New ComRes poll for the Daily Mirror shows 82% of voters, across all the main parties, would support a 1p rise in National Insurance contributions to fund NHS

New ComRes poll for the Daily Mirror shows 82% of voters, across all the main parties, would support a 1p rise in National Insurance contributions to fund NHS

New @ComRes poll for the @DailyMirror on the NHS is very interesting. 81% of Conservative voters and 86% of Labour voters in support a 1% increase in National Insurance contributions to fund the NHS. pic.twitter.com/Zr2wIabzjL — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 5, 2018 There’s a new ComRes poll out for The Daily Mirror on the NHS which shows really strong support for a 1p increase in National Insurance contributions to fund the NHS. The findings seems to reaffirm Lord Lawson’s view that “the…

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YouGov have run their very accurate constituency predictor on the House elections in November

YouGov have run their very accurate constituency predictor on the House elections in November

YouGov has run its MRP model on the US Congress. Midpoint gives the Democrats an overall majority of 3…https://t.co/nVYXoomaj1 — Matt Singh (@MattSingh_) June 3, 2018 Will the YouGov model be as accurate in America as it was in the UK? One of the undoubted winners of the last UK general election were YouGov and their MRP model which showed a hung parliament when most other pollsters were showing the Tories were on course for a hefty majority. I recall…

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