Guardian online Is there anything that Brown Central can do? The August ICM poll for the Guardian is out and like all other polls reporting this month it is simply more of the same. Labour in the doldrums in the 20s with the Tories in the 40s. The changes in the Guardian’s graphic, above, are with the last poll in the paper in July. Compared with the Sunday Mirror ICM poll the weekend before last the changes were CON -2…
PoliticsHome What do we think of the first post-release poll? The above are the results of an online poll of 1,204 adults carried out between 18-20 August 2009. Figures are weighted by party ID to reflect the UK at large. Unfortunately we do not have any Scotland-specific numbers which are probably the most relevant. Mike Smithson
Mail Online We’re back to more Labour leadership speculation “Oh no” I can hear you groan – not more on Gordon Brown and the Labour leadership. Alas it’s been some time since we did a thread on the subject but with the holidays coming to an end that’s all changing. The Mail on Sunday is carrying the above story about the Chancellor, Alistair Darling, making a scathing attack in a private meeting on his boss over how to attack the…
UKPollingReport Was it political failure and not the economy? One of the regular arguments on the site is whether it’s the economy or politics that drives changes in public opinion and how people will vote. I’ve long been part of the political failure camp and the table of YouGov polls from UKPollingReport, I would argue, backs me up. Just look at what happened in mid-April 2009. Labour had been happily coasting in the 30s since September 2008 and reached a…
Will “we” end up with getting the best prediction? Discussions are taking place on a plan that would give me something that I have always wanted for the site – a regular monthly poll of voting intentions carried out exclusively for Politicalbetting.com by a leading polling organisation. For at the moment we have to rely completely on others and when polls do come out the information that’s available is usually quite limited. Often we have to wait for a few…
YouGov: September 28th 2007 CON 32 LAB 43 LD 15 Populus: September 27 2007 CON 31 LAB 41 LD 17 Ipsos-MORI: September 26 2007 CON 31 LAB 44 LD 15 YouGov: September 25 2007 CON 33 LAB 44 LD 13 Ipsos-Mori: September 22 2007 CON 34 LAB 42 LD 14 ICM: September 21 2007 CON 33 LAB 39 LD 19
PoliticsHome Why’s Mandy’s message not getting through? Early last week we saw a furious outburst from Peter Mandelson following the use by his old foe George Osborne of the term “progressive” to describe the Conservatives. We ran a thread on it. This is a description that seems to touch a raw nerve within the Labour movement which was probably the back-ground to Mandy’s move. So what will the parties make of this new poll from PoliticsHome? For if Labour thought…
Sunday Mirror Could he in fact turn some voters off his party? In its coverage of its ICM poll this morning the Sunday Mirror makes the findings about the public’s view of Peter Mandelson the main feature. Those surveyed were asked who they thought “would be best to lead Labour if Mr Brown stood down”. Amongst all voters it was David Miliband on 27%, Jack Straw on 26%, Alas Johnson 15% and Peter Mandelson on 14%. But amongst those voting…