YG daily poll S. Times Apr 10 Apr 9 CONSERVATIVES 40% 40% LABOUR 32% 30% LIB DEMS 18% 20% LAB to CON swing from 2005 5.5% 6.5% BPIX/YG Mail on Sunday Apr 10 Mar 27 CONSERVATIVES 38% 37% LABOUR 31% 30% LIB DEMS 20% 20% LAB to CON swing from 2005 5% 5% With so many surveys all coming out overnight it can be quite hard digesting them and I’ve deferred publishing the YouGov daily poll detail until the BPIX/YouGov…
Harris – Metro Apr 8 Mar 29 CONSERVATIVES 37% 37% LABOUR 28% 27% LIB DEMS 19% 19% LAB to CON swing from 2005 6% 6.5% This week’s poll from Harris Interactive is published in the Metro this morning – although fieldwork finished on Tuesday – the day the election was called. So the poll, in the context of the current battle, is quite old and it is odd that it should have taken so long for the fieldwork to have…
Message from Robert: Well that was rubbish. We were trying to load-balance between the servers using perlbal. And perlbal performed so badly the load-balancer itself was unreachable. I’m going to try using nginx for load-balancing now. Hopefully there won’t be too many ill effects. If anyone has any experience implementing software load balancing on Linux, please email me: rcs1000 at g mail dot com Populus Apr 7 (Feb 7) CON 2010 LAB 2010 LD 2010 Voted CON in 2005 90%…
Populus for the Times Apr 7 Feb 7 CONSERVATIVES 39.3% 40% LABOUR 31.6% 30% LIB DEMS 20.8% 20% LAB to CON swing from 2005 5.4% 6.5% But why record the figures without rounding? Tonight’s poll by Populus for the Times is hugely significant because the firm’s methodology is based on ICM and generally the fieldwork is carried out from ICM call centres. So it provides us with something that’s quite similar to compare the recent ICM poll with – that’s…
What’s the £5.50 gallon going to do to “Motorway Man”? A combination of budgets measures and the declining pound has forced the price of petrol up and it now stands at just on £1.20 a litre or £5.50 a gallon equalling the highest level ever. Historically there’s been a link between the price of petrol and Labour’s position in the polls. Look at the latest version of this chart that we’ve featured before. Whatgas Given that one of the key…
Message from Robert: I will be doing some minor site maintenance today ahead of the expected announcement this afternoon. Hopefully there won’t be any downtime. But, if there is, you know who to blame. Brand Democracy/YG Mar 19 CON LAB LD OTH 45-54 year olds 32% 38% 17% 13% 55-64 year old 39% 27% 19% 15% All 55 and over 46% 24% 16% 14% All 65 and over 49% 23% 15% 13% All 18+ 37% 31% 19% 13% The over…
YG daily poll: The Sun Apr 5 Apr 2 CONSERVATIVES 41% 39% LABOUR 31% 29% LIB DEMS 18% 20% LAB to CON swing from 2005 6% 6.5% What do we make of the conflicting figures? So there we have it – the YouGov daily poll where the fieldwork finished this evening showing very different numbers from the Guardian/ICM poll earlier with the margin down to just four points. But like ICM the Labour share has increased with YouGov – so…
Opinium (Daily Express) Apr 5 Mar 29 CONSERVATIVES 39% 38% LABOUR 29% 28% LIB DEMS 17% 16% LAB to CON swing from 2005 6.5% 6.5% And the Tories move up one to 39 A second poll is just out, from new kid on the block Opinium, and this has the gap between the blues and the reds still at ten points although both move up one. I don’t have the Lib Dem figure yet. The firm is a new pollster…