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Category: Polls

Corbyn would be taking a huge gamble going into an election so out of step with LAB voters on Brexit

Corbyn would be taking a huge gamble going into an election so out of step with LAB voters on Brexit

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Yesterday in what was billed as his “big Brexit speech” LAB leader Corbyn called for a general election should TMay lose fail to win backing for her Brexit deal in the vote next week. But he’s been far more reluctant to allow Labour to give any backing to the increasing clamours for a specific referendum on the deal. As is widely known Corbyn has been anti the EU just about all his political career and he’s not going to change…

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No Leader of the Opposition has rated even nearly as badly as Corbyn and become Prime Minister. An analysis into the satisfaction ratings of leaders of the opposition

No Leader of the Opposition has rated even nearly as badly as Corbyn and become Prime Minister. An analysis into the satisfaction ratings of leaders of the opposition

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In the final piece of three, Corporeal looks at the satisfaction ratings of Leaders of the Opposition The Leader of Her Majesty’s Most Loyal Opposition is a position of great responsibility and impotence. It is traditionally the delicate art of attention grabbing, agenda setting, holding the government to account, and providing an inspiring alternative vision for government on the major issues of the day. Or if all that fails (unkind commentators might suggest that not all the holders of the…

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Theresa May is more popular through the first thirty months of her tenure than Thatcher and Cameron. An analysis into Prime Ministerial satisfaction ratings

Theresa May is more popular through the first thirty months of her tenure than Thatcher and Cameron. An analysis into Prime Ministerial satisfaction ratings

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In part two of three, Corporeal looks at Prime Ministerial satisfaction ratings Prime Ministers are, of course, towering figures in public life. Pillars of UK society that are respected and loved in equal measure and enter government with the goodwill of the nation behind them. Then with fairly predictable regularity they slip from the hearts of the public and in some cases end up getting burnt in effigy. Current Situation: The most recent result for Theresa May came in mid-December…

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The May government’s net satisfaction ratings are on par with Thatcher’s and Cameron’s

The May government’s net satisfaction ratings are on par with Thatcher’s and Cameron’s

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Only the Blair government’s net average ratings were better Governments are pretty much always unpopular. The anonymous grinding mills of policy and administration rarely inspire enthusiasm, much less devotion. Democratic Rep. Emanuel Cleaver once joked that the US Congress was less popular than Satan, a claim that as far as I can find hasn’t been tested by any pollster (perhaps something for Lord Ashcroft to consider during his American travels). In 2013 during a government shutdown the great American public…

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Since the end of October only one survey from a pollster other than YouGov has recorded a CON lead

Since the end of October only one survey from a pollster other than YouGov has recorded a CON lead

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All the others have had LAB leads or were tied There’s a new poll reported in the Times today from YouGov which has a Conservative lead albeit a reduced one of 2%. It has not yet been added to the Wikipedia table featured above of every published poll. When looking in detail at the list one thing is very striking and that is that the Conservatives leads are almost totally from YouGov. All the other polls bar one in early…

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Looking back over 2018: Alastair Meeks reviews his predictions

Looking back over 2018: Alastair Meeks reviews his predictions

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It’s that time of year when everyone makes predictions about what is coming up.  Oddly, you get rather fewer articles looking back at the previous year’s predictions. Funny that. I make predictions each year to set out my considered thoughts and to see where they went wrong, in an effort to see where I can get better when assessing scenarios for my betting. So how did I do twelve months ago? For once, not too badly at all. I made…

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Tonight’ big Brexit polling news – LAB could slip to third place if it helped CON pass Brexit

Tonight’ big Brexit polling news – LAB could slip to third place if it helped CON pass Brexit

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New YouGov poll finds that LAB would drop to behind the LDs if the party helps the Tories to pass Brexit https://t.co/WcnsPVRxJi — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 15, 2018 The S Times is reporting a YouGov survey of 5,000 voters, commissioned by the People’s Vote campaign, showing that support for LAB could fall from 36% to 22% if it helped the Tories to pass a compromise deal with Brussels like the one advocated by Theresa May. In these circumstances, the…

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Latest YouGov tracker finds the Brexit “wrong” lead over “right” in double figures at record level

Latest YouGov tracker finds the Brexit “wrong” lead over “right” in double figures at record level

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With the political process of the UK leaving the EU completely dominating the headlines the latest YouGov brexit tracker has unwelcome news for those who want to follow the referendum result. The figures are in the chart above. 49% believe that in hindsight it was wrong to vote to leave the EU with 38% saying it was right. The question has been asked several times a month by YouGov in exactly the same form since the referendum in 2016 and…

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