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Category: Polls

How do the blues and reds deal with Cleggmania?

How do the blues and reds deal with Cleggmania?

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Should the Tories play the immigration card? With the reverberations of the post-debate opinion polls dominating the political coverage there’s a lot of focus this morning on how Labour and the Tories deal with the new challenge. To me Andrew Rawnsley is on the right lines in the Observer. He writes: “Some Labour strategists have sounded happy to join the praise for his performance in the first bout. One of Gordon Brown’s senior aides cheerfully remarked to me on Friday…

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Another poll has the Lib Dems in second place

Another poll has the Lib Dems in second place

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UPDATED ComRes: S Mirror & Indy on Sunday Apr 17 Apr 13 CONSERVATIVES 31% 35% LIB DEMS 29% 21% LABOUR 27% 29% ICM Sunday Telegraph Apr 15 Apr 11 CONSERVATIVES 34% 37% LIB DEMS 27% 20% LABOUR 29% 31% But can Labour rely on the UNS? The polling excitement continues with a second poll showing that the Lib Dems have over-hauled Labour to move into second place. Also there’s an ICM poll where the fieldwork was carried out before the…

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Was the Clegg rise all predicted in September 2008?

Was the Clegg rise all predicted in September 2008?

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Recalling Frank Luntz’s Newsnight focus group The events of the past 48 hours have reminded me of the above clip (click on the picture to play) of the Frank Luntz’s Newsnight focus group that was carried out in September 2008. Then Nick Clegg was an almost total unknown and yet when exposed to selected voters on the same footing as Brown and Cameron they responded in almost exactly the same way as that which we have seen since Thursday evening….

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What’s happened to “other others” at ComRes?

What’s happened to “other others” at ComRes?

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Should we be “recalibrating” its figures? Something very strange is happening with the ComRes polling numbers which look as though they might be being distorted by a huge increase in “other others”. This is the category that excludes the three main parties, SNP/PC/UKIP/GRN/BNP and in, for instance, the firm’s February 11th poll was down to just four respondents in a sample of over a thousand. According to the data from last night’s poll for ITV News/Independent “other others” were recorded…

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Tories back into the 40s with YouGov

Tories back into the 40s with YouGov

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YouGov Daily Poll Apr 14 Apr 13 CONSERVATIVES 41% 39% LABOUR 32% 31% LIB DEMS 18% 20% LAB to CON swing from 2005 6% 5.5% Is this down to the manifesto coverage? My reaction to last night’s polling news was that there might have been a boost in Labour’s position because quite of a lot of the fieldwork had taken place just after the party had received a coverage boost following its manifesto launch. Well it does seem from tonight’s…

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Four point boost for LDs from ComRes

Four point boost for LDs from ComRes

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ComRes: ITV News/Independent Apr 11 Apr 8 CONSERVATIVES 37% 39% LABOUR 30% 32% LIB DEMS 20% 16% LAB to CON swing from 2005 5% 5% The Independent has teamed up with ITV news to do two general election polls a week – the first of which appears this evening. The gap is the same as the last ComRes poll – the big difference being that both Labour and the Tories are down two each with Clegg’s party moving up four….

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The Sunday night round-up

The Sunday night round-up

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This is a regular feature which will run every Sunday night up until polling day, to include the last set of figures from each pollster, as well as the current seat spreads from the betting markets, and also international updates. The pollsters Last poll from each pollster Con Lab LD Oth Lead YouGov 10 Apr 40 32 18 10 8 BPIX 10 Apr 38 31 20 11 7 ICM 10 Apr 38 30 21 11 8 ComRes 10 Apr 39…

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