Browsed by
Category: Polls

Your regular reminder that the wording and format of polling questions can influence the outcome

Your regular reminder that the wording and format of polling questions can influence the outcome

https://twitter.com/leonardocarella/status/1171358165964873728 Perhaps this explains why Yes did so well in the 2014 Scottish Independence referendum. In any future Independence referendum the Unionists should ensure the question on the ballot paper is ‘Should Scotland remain a member of the United Kingdom?’ Yes or No. TSE

What will next set of polls show? I have no idea

What will next set of polls show? I have no idea

I saw this, cringed so hard, my feet shrank three sizes. https://t.co/VbgZAte8pA — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 6, 2019 Thinking about what to have for lunch. Large bucket of boneless (certainly spineless) JFC (Jeremy’s Frightened & Chicken) perhaps. pic.twitter.com/37t2GKmVOI — James Cleverly?? (@JamesCleverly) September 6, 2019 If chicken suits swung voters we wouldn't be in this mess (we'd be facing Chaos with Ed Miliband) pic.twitter.com/Hkq7MJvFhV — James Morris (@jamesdmorris) September 6, 2019 This afternoon a friend asked me what I thought…

Read More Read More

The Remainers of the Day. Why are pollsters consistently finding more Remainers than you would expect?

The Remainers of the Day. Why are pollsters consistently finding more Remainers than you would expect?

I don’t take opinion polls very seriously and nor should you. For all that, they tell us something and some of the time we have no better clue as to what is going on than what they tell us. Right now, they seem to be telling us something rather interesting. For many months, pollsters have consistently found appreciably more respondents in their sample who said they voted Remain in 2016 than said they voted Leave. Since Leave won 52:48, this…

Read More Read More

Jo Johnson’s resignation will only reinforce the doubts that Boris Johnson is only interested in himself and not the national interest

Jo Johnson’s resignation will only reinforce the doubts that Boris Johnson is only interested in himself and not the national interest

Jo Johnson was a remainer who resigned from Theresa May’s Government in Nov 2018 saying no deal would “inflict untold damage” on the country. He and his brother clearly disagree. But to accuse him of betraying national interest on first day of his “election campaign” is ? ? — Tamara Cohen (@tamcohen) September 5, 2019 In a move more reminiscent of Game of Thrones meets the Milibands Jo Johnson’s resignation as both a minister and an MP has the potential…

Read More Read More

This is not a government with any real support for its approach and main policy

This is not a government with any real support for its approach and main policy

The unelected PM without a mandate has a big credibility problem https://t.co/TMrSpjOb3v — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 30, 2019 New: More say government wrong to prorogue parliament – but Leavers are happy #Brexit pic.twitter.com/lcItRpbeby — Ben Page (@benatipsos) August 30, 2019 New What is closing parliament for? Most don't believe No 10 pic.twitter.com/MJwwtybAQR — Ben Page (@benatipsos) August 30, 2019 The government stopping Parliament from meeting between mid-September and mid-October is… Acceptable: 31%Not acceptable: 53% via @YouGov https://t.co/aLFu514leG pic.twitter.com/9SZWXq40Al —…

Read More Read More

Before we can make judgements about the outcome of an early general election we need new Scotland only polling

Before we can make judgements about the outcome of an early general election we need new Scotland only polling

The last one was in June There’s been a lot of GB voting intention polling since Mr Johnson became the new Tory leader and Prime Minister but none of it has been Scotland specific. One thing we do know is that is can be highly misleading keying the latest GB poll shares into Baxter and getting anything that is relevant to Scotland. North of the border, as we all know, is the part of the UK which has seen the…

Read More Read More

If BJohnson is planning an election the numbers continue to look good

If BJohnson is planning an election the numbers continue to look good

And JSwinson’s response to the PM Corbyn suggestion doesn’t seem to have hurt the LDs August is generally a month when we see fewer Westminster voting polls and it’s probably because of the possibility of an early election that this year we’ve seen as many surveys as we have. Even leaving Kantar aside the Tories will feel relatively comfortable about where they are which is being helped by the ongoing poor numbers for Labour. The ambivalence of Corbyn’s party on…

Read More Read More

At least ComRes didn’t bring Nelson Mandela into its controversial poll

At least ComRes didn’t bring Nelson Mandela into its controversial poll

When mentioning his name might get better results? All the discussion over alleged leading questions in the ComRes poll have provided a peg fo me to highlight one of my favourite polls ever. In the build-up in 2005 to the resolution London’s bid for the 2012 Olympics a poll was commissioned to try to show that people in the capital backed the idea. This was the series of questions in the order that they were put:- “Are you aware that…

Read More Read More