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As the EU referendum bill is published new YouGov polling raises questions about the salience of Europe as an issue

As the EU referendum bill is published new YouGov polling raises questions about the salience of Europe as an issue

Today's issues tracker from YouGov sees just 32% of UKIP voters saying Europe is one of top 3 issues facing country. pic.twitter.com/20GmVJ8or4 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 19, 2013 Is the bill really going to stop the seepage to Farage’s party? Today sees the publication of the EU referendum bill and, coincidentally the latest issues tracker from YouGov which unlike Ipsos-MORI does prompt when asking respondents to name the important areas of concern. The detailed breakdown is in the YouGov…

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Michael Gove’s flagship educational policies could turn out to be a GE2015 liability not an asset

Michael Gove’s flagship educational policies could turn out to be a GE2015 liability not an asset

Latest YouGov "best on Schools & Education" ratings point to Gove's policies being a driver of LD > LAB switching pic.twitter.com/ZiTIbhgPKw — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 18, 2013 2010 LD voters give LAB a 22% lead on the issue Whenever there is any polling involving the coalition’s education policies or Michael Gove personally the key swing group of voters next time, 2010 Lib Dems, appear to be taking a hostile view. Today we have YouGov’s regular ratings on the best…

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Dave rates equally with CON party in latest ComRes online favourability ratings

Dave rates equally with CON party in latest ComRes online favourability ratings

Latest favourable/unfavourable ratings from ComRes online see Balls ahead of Osborne & LAB ahead CON. Dave/EdM = pic.twitter.com/h94WiXZOCw — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 15, 2013 Well done to ComRes for sticking with favourable/unfavourable ratings which are widely used in US and which I regard as best format. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 15, 2013 On voting intentions CON slip sees LAB extend ComRes lead LAB extends leader in latest ComRes online poll for IoS/S Mirror Con 26% (-3) Lab 35% (0) UKIP…

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In praise of Lord Ashcroft – the UK’s leading commissioner of political polling

In praise of Lord Ashcroft – the UK’s leading commissioner of political polling

A ludicrous attack on the UK’s leading funder of polling @lordashcroft by Peter Oborne goo.gl/BTbKw twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 13, 2013 To claim @lordashcroft has a “dangerous monopoly of political information” goes beyond hype telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/… its evidently nonsense — Sunder Katwala (@sundersays) June 12, 2013 Barmy slightly hysterical attack on @lordashcroft by Peter Oborne. Ashcroft a man who not only created wealth but kept Tory Party afloat — Stewart Jackson MP (@SJacksonMP) June 12, 2013 When it comes…

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After ICM another phone poll, Ipsos-MORI, has UKIP on 12 percent

After ICM another phone poll, Ipsos-MORI, has UKIP on 12 percent

Balls ahead of Osbo on running nation’s finances The monthly Ipsos-MORI poll for the Evening Standard is out and sees very little change on a month ago. The firm’s UKIP share is 12% which is exactly what ICM had yesterday. In another finding Ed Balls is beating Osborne by 38% to 35% as the one thought most capable at running the nation’s finances. The leadership ratings The latest Ipsos-MORI leadership ratings with Farage down a bit but still the only…

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UKIP drop 6 pts in latest ICM phone poll

UKIP drop 6 pts in latest ICM phone poll

Are we heading to a new normality? The June telephone poll from ICM, one of the three remaining regular surveys that carry out their fieldwork in this way, is out and sees a sharp decline for UKIP after reaching 18% last month. That poll took place while the Farage’s party was enjoying the mass of coverage following its big success in the May 2nd local elections and the good second place in the South Shields by-election. This month the limelight…

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It’s time for the rest of the polling industry to follow Survation and treat UKIP on an equal basis

It’s time for the rest of the polling industry to follow Survation and treat UKIP on an equal basis

Farage’s force is no longer “some other party” Last year the newbie pollster which is now picking up an awful lot of business, Survation, caused controversy in the industry by including UKIP in its main voting intention prompt. The result was that Survation began showing shares for UKIP which were considerably larger than many other firms. The practice for online pollsters had been to list CON, LAB, and LD on the first screen of the voting intention questioning with an…

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