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Category: Polls

Growing a beard: How male supporters of the main parties divide

Growing a beard: How male supporters of the main parties divide

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After a week when Paxman's appearance was top political story 13 questions in S Times YouGov are about beards pic.twitter.com/XIuuYOl50B — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 18, 2013 The choice of questions for the weekly Sunday Times YouGov poll is a good indication of what’s been going on in the previous week and today a large part of the poll is devoted to beards – sparked off by Jeremy Paxman. This is mid-August, after all, and the height of the silly…

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Tories remain on 28pc with ComRes online while LAB extends lead

Tories remain on 28pc with ComRes online while LAB extends lead

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Another poll that doesn’t fit the media narrative EdM has his worst ever good LAB leader ratings from ComRes but his net only 1% down on Cameron pic.twitter.com/tWIwcvnzoz — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 17, 2013 Dave is on a net minus 27% in ComRes good PM ratings – equalling his worst ever and only 1% better than EdM pic.twitter.com/DGsKVDFZiZ — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 17, 2013 Mike Smithson For the latest polling and political betting news Follow @MSmithsonPB

LAB retains its double digit lead in the August Ipsos-MORI phone poll

LAB retains its double digit lead in the August Ipsos-MORI phone poll

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But the blues edge out of the 20s We’ve got the first details of the Ipsos-MORI poll in the Evening Standard which only gives partial details and wrongly describes “Leader Satisfaction ratings” as “Approval Ratings”. The big news is an increase in those disliking EdM – but let’s wait for proper numbers. I’ll update this post when we get full data from the pollster. Update – the satisfaction ratings Latest Ipsos-MORI leader and government satisfaction ratings. Farage joins the others…

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Labour continues to lose the economy blame game: EdM needs a new Shadow Chancellor

Labour continues to lose the economy blame game: EdM needs a new Shadow Chancellor

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It’s now two and a half years since Ed Balls became shadow chancellor and, as the chart above shows, there’s been very little change in public perceptions over who is to blame for the cuts. The charge that it’s “Labour’s fault” continues to resonate. We see it time and time again whenever coalition ministers respond to criticism of their policies for the deficit. Everything is justified because of what they inherited from the last LAB government – an assertion that…

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LAB share drops 3 with Opinium and sees its lead down to 7 percent

LAB share drops 3 with Opinium and sees its lead down to 7 percent

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What's significant about Opinium is that the declining LAB lead is mostly down to its share falling 3% rather than CON progress — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 10, 2013 Cameron's net approval rating with Opinium is minus 15 – his best figures from the online firm since Jan — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 10, 2013

Take polls with large pinch of salt. Do not consume in excess!

Take polls with large pinch of salt. Do not consume in excess!

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A guest slot from Nick Sparrow – former head of polling at ICM In a search for more accurate vote intention estimates following the debacle of 1992, one modification we made was to prompt respondents with the names of the main political parties, Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat (and SNP or Plaid Cymru in relevant areas). The prompts reminded people of the existence of the Liberal Democrats – a partly forgotten alternative between elections. The prompts also may have had the…

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