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Category: Polls

Populus Poll out

Populus Poll out

    The fieldwork was post the Syria debate vote, Friday to Sunday inclusive. So two out of the three polls conducted in the aftermath of the defeat for the Government has shown no discernible change in VI, hopefully we shall see some more polling in the next few days, which will help us determine whether the YouGov was the harbinger of a period of increased Labour leads, or just an outlier. TSE

YouGov polling round up

YouGov polling round up

The YouGov poll for the Sunday Times is out. YouGov Sunday Times Poll, Labour gets it first double digit lead since 12/7 Con 31 Lab 41 Lib Dem 9 UKIP 13 — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) September 1, 2013 YouGov changes compared with last poll take pre-Syrian vote Con -2 Lab +4 Lib Dems -1 UKIP +1 — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) September 1, 2013   As ever, this is one poll, we need to see more polling to see if this is an outlier or the…

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Survation poll out

Survation poll out

There’s a new poll out by Survation for the Mail on Sunday. The fieldwork was entirely after the government defeat. Survation interviewed 1002 respondents online on Friday afternoon and evening seeking their reactions to the Government’s House of Commons defeat over Syria. As we can see there’s been very little movement in VI. Survation for The Mail on Sunday – VI (Change since August 4th) CON 29% (+1) LAB 37% (+1) UKIP 17% (-1) LD 11% (NC) AP 7% (NC)…

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Betting on when will a Conservative lead with YouGov occur

Betting on when will a Conservative lead with YouGov occur

Paddy Power have opened a market on when we’ll see a Conservative lead with YouGov. Paddy Power's odds on when The Tories will take the lead with a YouGov VI poll pic.twitter.com/IczxkcApyT — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) August 29, 2013 Overnight the latest yougov poll was published, it shows the Labour lead at 3% YouGov/Sun poll tonight: Syria dramatics aside, the Labour lead is down to 3 points again. CON 34%, LAB 37%, LDEM 11%, UKIP 12%. — Tom Newton Dunn (@tnewtondunn)…

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Ipsos-MORI party like-dislike ratings for UKIP raise doubts about the party’s future progress

Ipsos-MORI party like-dislike ratings for UKIP raise doubts about the party’s future progress

How come that Farage’s party is now so disliked? One of the big problems with polling is that what tends to get reported is what fits the media narrative and other numbers can get ignored. Thus the big news from latest Ipsos-MORI “like/dislike” party and leader ratings was the big fall in Ed Miliband’s personal position which, of course, has been the big political story this summer. This has overshadowed other numbers from the firm about UKIP that might be…

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Sunday Polling Roundup

Sunday Polling Roundup

There are three polls out. First up is the YouGov poll for the Sunday Times Tonight’s YouGov for the Sunday Times Lab 38 Con 32 UKIP 13 LD 10 — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) August 24, 2013   YouGov/Sunday Times Miliband’s net rating is minus 48, his worst net rating this year (last week it minus 42) — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) August 24, 2013   YouGov Sunday Times net ratings among their own supporters Cameron plus 87 Clegg plus 36 Miliband plus 7…

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Ipsos Mori Issues Index out

Ipsos Mori Issues Index out

The Augusut Ipsos-Mori issues index is out Public concern about the economy falls again – lowest in five years http://t.co/gnWVv2CrdI — Ben Page, Ipsos MORI (@benatipsosmori) August 22, 2013 Concern about race/immigration has now increased to 38%; its highest level since May 2010 http://t.co/nIWAVtpsOf @EconBritain: — Ben Page, Ipsos MORI (@benatipsosmori) August 22, 2013 Concern about the NHS now the highest it has been in 5 years http://t.co/ZnzXN0eyeG — Ben Page, Ipsos MORI (@benatipsosmori) August 22, 2013 Just 7% of…

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Boris comparing Miliband to Stalin does not fit with Cameron’s “weak, weak, weak” rhetoric

Boris comparing Miliband to Stalin does not fit with Cameron’s “weak, weak, weak” rhetoric

Boris: Ed Miliband is just like Stalin because he "shafted" his brother http://t.co/bMpcjk5WJP — Sun Politics (@Sun_Politics) August 21, 2013 One of the strategies that the Tories were said to have agreed on before the recess was to stop referring to the way that Ed Miliband won the party leadership by “shafting” his brother. The reasoning was that this act, on the face of it, rather conflicts with their attempt to portray EdM as being weak and ineffectual. Well the…

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