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Fewer than one in five rate rank renegotiating with the EU as a top government priority

Fewer than one in five rate rank renegotiating with the EU as a top government priority

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New test of salience of issues from TNS-BMRB As we’ve discussed many times here before the salience of an issue can be as important as establishing what people’s view are. Tonight’s sees a new polling question from TNS BMRB which lists a series of possible priorities and asks respondents to select up to three of them. The outcome is seen in the chart above. As can be seen just 19% of the sample placed renegotiating with the EU in their…

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Why Ed Miliband can take some comfort from Tony Abbott’s victory in Australia

Why Ed Miliband can take some comfort from Tony Abbott’s victory in Australia

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In July he was 14% behind as “preferred Prime Minister” One footnote from the last week’s Austrailian general election and the change of government is that the new prime minister trailed Kevin Rudd in the approval and “preferred Prime Minister” ratings. Only a few weeks ago the eventual winner was 14% behind in some of the polls while the man who was to lose, Kevin Rudd, became the only Australian party leader in two and a half years to have…

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Sunday Morning Polling Round Up

Sunday Morning Polling Round Up

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There were three polls released overnight, The YouGov for the Sunday Times, an Opinium poll for the Observer, and a Wisdom Index Poll for the Sunday Telegraph (which asks what voters think each party will get at the next General Election) On voting intention   Sunday Times/YouGov Poll Con 34 Lab 38 LD 9 UKIP 12 — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) September 8, 2013 Opinium poll for the Observer Labour lead down 2 to 5%. Con 30% (+1) Lab 35% (-1) LD 7% (-1)…

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Panelbase SNP Poll

Panelbase SNP Poll

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There has been another finding released by Panelbase from their poll commissioned by the SNP.   The findings is that if the 2015 general election would result in another Tory-led or Conservative/Liberal Democrat coalition Government at Westminster,  41% said they are “very likely” to vote Yes and 9% “quite likely”. If they felt the next general election would result in a Labour-led Government at Westminster, 37% said they are “very likely” with another 10% “quite likely” to vote Yes. Whilst the…

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As long as Ipsos-Mori keeps on getting findings like this, does it vindicate ICM’s methodology?

As long as Ipsos-Mori keeps on getting findings like this, does it vindicate ICM’s methodology?

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Ipsos Mori's party dislike ratings pic.twitter.com/yqUk9vZFES — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) September 5, 2013 The Ipsos-Mori polling on which party is the most disliked, the Tories are the most disliked and Labour the least disliked. Now if we examine why ICM have earned the title of as the gold standard of polling, one of the main reasons is their spiral of silence of adjustment. To understand the spiral of silence adjustment here’s a brief outline, The “spiral of silence” came from an…

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CON and UKIP voters are becoming more supportive of missile attacks on Syria – LAB and LD ones more hostile

CON and UKIP voters are becoming more supportive of missile attacks on Syria – LAB and LD ones more hostile

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This is looking more partisan The above chart has been produced by taking the party splits on the Syrian missile issue and comparing them with the data from a week yesterday. As can be seen the net support/oppose numbers have overall moved more towards the latter. But both CON and UKIP voters have become more supportive of the proposal. The latter is in a manner that appears at odds with Farage’s high profile anti-position. Labour voters have moved sharply to…

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This Morning’s YouGov

This Morning’s YouGov

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Sun/YouGov Poll Con 33% (+2) Lab 40% (-1) LD 9% (nc) UKIP 12%(-1) Changes since last pre Syria poll Con nc, Lab +3, LD -1, UKIP nc — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) September 3, 2013 Labour will be happy with another poll showing them in the 40s. The Conservatives are back to their share of the vote being where it was prior to the Syria vote and see the Labour lead back to the single figure scores it has been for the…

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ComRes Phone Poll Out

ComRes Phone Poll Out

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Labour increases its lead, from three points to six points.     The fieldwork dates were between Friday the 30th August and Sunday the 1st September 2013, ComRes interviewed 1,000 British adults by telephone, so all post the Government defeat on Syria. Other salient points from the poll This is another poll showing Labour’s share of the vote in the 36%-40% range. For the first time since December 2012 the Lib Dems are ahead of UKIP in a ComRes phone poll. As…

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