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UPDATED: Both YouGov and Survation report that CON almost closing the gap

UPDATED: Both YouGov and Survation report that CON almost closing the gap

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Sunday Times pic.twitter.com/otaZJZGfbw — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 22, 2014 Survation finds CON now 2nd place for Euro Elections UPDATE: UKIP slip to 3rd place in Survation Euro2014 poll Not quite cross-over but nearly there Tonight’s Survation poll for the Mail on Sunday provides a massive boost for the Tories following the budget. The pollster, which pioneered prompting for Farage’s party, has traditionally had the biggest shares for UKIP. That’s down 3 to 15% while the Tories jump 4. The…

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The Tories close the gap by 1.4 percent in this week’s PB YouGov Weekly Average

The Tories close the gap by 1.4 percent in this week’s PB YouGov Weekly Average

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After a big week politically and some generally better ratings the Tories have closed the gap by 1.4% in the latest PB weekly average. We have been producing this weekly since the start of the year to help us better follow trends from the five times a weeky YouGov polls. This is a big move upwards which would have been greater if today’s poll for the Sunday Times had not had LAB back up at 40 with the Tories at…

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It’s bumper polling Saturday with at least 3 Westminster ones and one EP2014

It’s bumper polling Saturday with at least 3 Westminster ones and one EP2014

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One Saturday a month we seem to have a glut of polls with ComRes for the Indy on Sun/ S Mirror, Opinium for the Observer and the usual YouGov for the Sunday Times. On top of this ComRes, will be publishing an EP2014 survey, which is only the fourth such poll from any firm since the start of the year. Judging by polling activity you wouldn’t think that this election is only nine and a half weeks away. ComRes tell…

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Today’s Populus 1pc LAB lead poll had a sharp increase in Tory certainty to vote figures and a decline in LAB ones

Today’s Populus 1pc LAB lead poll had a sharp increase in Tory certainty to vote figures and a decline in LAB ones

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A reaction to Ed Miliband’s “No EU Referendum”? Today’s Populus online poll sees the LAB lead down to just 1%. The raw number show LAb still with a big lead but the weighted ones, after the demographic and certainty calculations, the Tory deficit comes right down. Now as I keep on saying it is wise not to equate correlation with causation. But the big thing that’s happened has been EdM’s EU referendum announcement, which was dominating the headlines at the…

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Remember the 1999 Euros: Tony Blair’s LAB was 32 pc ahead in the GE VI polls but trailed Hague’s CON by 8pts on the day

Remember the 1999 Euros: Tony Blair’s LAB was 32 pc ahead in the GE VI polls but trailed Hague’s CON by 8pts on the day

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General election polls not good indicators for EP election What we mustn’t forget as we approach the May Euro elections is that this is not a national vote where LAB has prospered since the introduction of the party list voting system. The chart shows the CON deficit in the main Westminster polls from April 1999 and compares them with what happened a few weeks when the nation decided on who should represent it at the European parliament. The issue, of…

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Ed Miliband’s “No EU Referendum” move might be less of a gamble than it looks

Ed Miliband’s “No EU Referendum” move might be less of a gamble than it looks

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The fact a YouGov EU referendum poll, which shows In ahead only for the second time, gets more coverage abroad than in the UK, says a lot. — Alberto Nardelli (@AlbertoNardelli) March 11, 2014 What could have potency is “being denied a vote” We are now just ten weeks away from the Euro Elections and today sees Ed Miliband make a speech in which, effectively, he rules out offering an referendum on whether the UK should stay IN or OUT….

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March’s Guardian ICM Poll is out

March’s Guardian ICM Poll is out

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The Lib Dems regain third place from UKIP The March ICM phone poll for the Guardian is out, there’s some cheer for the Lib Dems and the Tories. The Lib Dems have regained third place from UKIP with the Gold Standard of polling. It is easy to say that UKIP are regressing prior to the European and Local Elections in May, but this poll is return to the status quo of the ICM polling preceding February, which generally had the Lib…

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