The piece by Anthony Wells on postal voting and opinion polls on UKPR is a good reminder that things can now get a bit complex given that perhaps one in five of all votes will be made by post. What happens when the pollster calls or someone fills in an internet form when they have already voted? Almost all the firms adapt their voting intention question to take into account this possibility but they cannot report them separately. As Anthony…
Is this a taste of the next eight months? Today’s Sun gives a firmer indication of what the paper’s change of allegiance will mean in terms how the paper intends to carry on its political coverage in the run-up to the general election. Just look at the way it covers Harriet Harman’s attack on the paper. If this is a taster then we are in for an interesting time. Quite what the electoral impact will be is hard to measure…
Mike Smithson and Peter the Punter have asked me to draw your attention to an important date for your diaries – the fifth PoliticalBetting.com party! Taking the form of a barbeque, we will once again be meeting at the National Liberal Club, Whitehall Place, London SW1A 2HE. All are invited to join us on Thursday 19th June 2008, from 6pm until whenever we are asked to leave. As always, it will be a pay-on-the-door event (the princely sum of £20…
PoliticalBetting.Com was established by Mike Smithson to provide a discussion platform and an information service for political gamblers and others keenly interested in the electoral processes and forecasting outcomes. For 13 years Mike was a journalist with BBC News and was part of the team in the mid-1970s that handled the first Broadcasting of Parliament experiment. This was followed by regular stints at Westminster. In 1977 he ousted Denis McShane, the current Foreign Office Minister, as the National Executive member…