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Category: Lib Dems

UPDATED: On the face of it Vince Cable would be taking a risk doing anything with the Chapman “Democrats party” move

UPDATED: On the face of it Vince Cable would be taking a risk doing anything with the Chapman “Democrats party” move

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https://twitter.com/jameschappers/status/897830203233374208 The big development in the Chapman “Democrats party” move is the above Tweet from the ex-Mail political editor and former chief aids to DDavis. There’s no doubt, as the YouGov polling above shows, that LD voters are much more likely to be pro-Remain than any other party and there would have been a risk for Cable in turning down the Chapman overtures. But the LDs are a well established party where there are still bitter memories of the SDP…

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Can Vince make a Brexit-exit work for the Lib Dems?

Can Vince make a Brexit-exit work for the Lib Dems?

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And can he expand new Lib Dems support beyond Europhiles? In the week when the Brexit talks finally got down to business, the Lib Dems acquired a new leader to head up the fight to – well, that’s the first question: what exactly are the opponents of the government’s Brexit policy (which itself is hardly perfectly defined) themselves advocating? Vince Cable is already seeking to ride more than one horse on Brexit, advocating both that Britain remain within the Single…

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How the Corbyn surge has left the Lib Dems positioned largely as an anti-Tory party

How the Corbyn surge has left the Lib Dems positioned largely as an anti-Tory party

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Labour aren’t in second place in any of the seats the Lib Dems hold, and Labour hold only 4 of the top 30 Lib Dem target seats Looking through the results of June 8th I was struck by how much the Corbyn surge has left the Lib Dems as a Tory facing party. As we can see in above chart, in not one of the twelve seats the Lib Dems hold are Labour second, it is either the Tories or…

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Vince Cable looks set to become the first Strictly contestant to lead a political party

Vince Cable looks set to become the first Strictly contestant to lead a political party

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The news tonight that ex-coalition cabinet minister, Ed Davey, is not planning to stand for the LD leadership means that that former Business Secretary Secretary looks set to take over from Tim Farron as LD leader. Davey became the third prominent LD to announce he wasn’t going forward after Jo Swinson and Norman Lamb. The formal nomination process ends on July 20th which means that Vince will have to wait till then before taking the crown. As someone pointed out…

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Norman Lamb says he not standing in LD leadership race

Norman Lamb says he not standing in LD leadership race

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The Guardian article in which Norman Lamb says he's not standing https://t.co/vlGG9mNsic pic.twitter.com/SlzqZDUr6W — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 22, 2017 So now it looks like Cable versus Davey The busiest UK political betting market at the moment is on the LD leadership and within the last few minutes the Guardian has published the piece linked to above by the ex-health minister, Norman Lamb. This has come as a shock because Lamb did very well against Farron last time and the…

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The LDs appear to have chosen their next two leaders without a single vote being cast

The LDs appear to have chosen their next two leaders without a single vote being cast

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The veteran former Business Secretary, Sir Vince Cable, has now moved to a 60%+ chance in the betting of becoming Farron’s successor following an extraordinary 36 hours when the party appears to have decided who should get the job AND who should succeed Vince. As soon as Farron announced that he was going last week the LD blogger, Mark Pack, ran a survey of party members on the succession. In the past these have usually been fairly good pointers to…

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Electing a leader from Scotland could give the LDs a huge boost north of the the border

Electing a leader from Scotland could give the LDs a huge boost north of the the border

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If Gordon Brown could do it at GE10 then what about the Yellows? We all know that GE10 wasn’t a good one for Gordon Brown’s LAB. The party lost power after having a comfortable majority for 13 years and suffered huge seat losses. The chart above shows the party’s vote share changes in different parts of the UK but there was one place which bucked the overall trend Scotland. Whereas in England LAB was down more than 7.4% in Scotland…

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Farron quits as LD leader

Farron quits as LD leader

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Tim Farron 'to quit as leader of the Liberal Democrats' https://t.co/URHrPlV5no pic.twitter.com/SBpcjKehDW — Daily Mirror (@DailyMirror) June 14, 2017 My guess is that Jo Swinson will succeed him Ladbrokes: Jo Swinson favourite to replace Farron as Lib Dem leader pic.twitter.com/H4kpPScmlN — Ladbrokes Politics (@LadPolitics) June 14, 2017 Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet