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Category: Leader approval ratings

Starmer moves to a 35% net approval lead over Johnson while all three polls tonight have the voting gap getting very close

Starmer moves to a 35% net approval lead over Johnson while all three polls tonight have the voting gap getting very close

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And Boris only 1% clear as best PM It has been a big night of polling with three new surveys all showing the Conservative lead over Labour getting narrower. The voting numbers are: Opinium CON: 43% (-) LAB: 40% (+1) LD: 6% (-) SNP: 5% (-) GRN: 3% (-) Survation, CON 41% (-4) LAB 39% (+5) LD 7% (-1) GRN 4% (-) SNP 4% (-) BXP 1% (+1) Deltapoll CON 41% (-2) LAB 38% (-) LD 8% (-) OTH 13%…

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The case for making “personality” ratings a good electoral indicator

The case for making “personality” ratings a good electoral indicator

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A guest slot from isam Last month, Keir Starmer appeared on the television in my front room to give his response to the Prime Minister’s Covid-19 statement. A few seconds later my eyes glazed over,  a few more passed and I switched the tv off saying “Jesus, he is dull”. It set me thinking that in a world of Reality tv, tiktok, snapchat, (none of which I am a fan of), and general instant gratification, (which I kind of am)…

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Another pollster has Johnson dropping sharply in its leader ratings while Starmer takes a net lead

Another pollster has Johnson dropping sharply in its leader ratings while Starmer takes a net lead

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Can Boris get back to where he was? Ipsos-MORI, Britain’s oldest polling firm, has just produced its latest leader ratings and the trend is very similar to what we’ve seen from other pollsters. Johnson has taken a hit while Starmer has continued to rise. Clearly the PM’s lack of action over the Cummings lockdown road trip affair continues to grate with voters. With Starmer there are fewer don’t knows which are splitting in favour or the new LAB leader. This…

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In other news Starmer moves to a net 24% lead over Johnson in latest Opinium approval ratings

In other news Starmer moves to a net 24% lead over Johnson in latest Opinium approval ratings

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A third of Tory voters disapprove of Starmer compared with three-quarters of LAB voters disapproving of Johnson The latest Opinium poll carried out before the Cummings lockdown affair came out overnight and the big change has been in the approval ratings of the PM and LOTO. The charts above show the recent trends. A big development is that for the first time Starmer has moved ahead of Johnson and he’s done it with a spectacular jump in just seven days….

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Starmer’s ratings are generally getting better as the number of don’t knows declines

Starmer’s ratings are generally getting better as the number of don’t knows declines

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We are now in the 7th week of Keir Starmer’s leadership of the Labour Party and he could take some comfort about the general direction of his leader ratings which historically have been a better guide to election outcomes than voting intention polling. When Starmer first got the job on April 4th he was relatively unknown and that was reflected in the smallish proportion of those polled who had an opinion. Thus in his first week just 42% of those…

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Chancellor Sunak’s looking strong in the polling – HomeSec Patel a liability

Chancellor Sunak’s looking strong in the polling – HomeSec Patel a liability

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Just over five months after GE2019 – how Johnson and his top team are being rated The chart above is based on the latest favourably polling by YouGov a series that I had a hand in creating a few years back. Of all the leader rating formats the one I like the best is on favourability. I think its simple directness gives a better view than leader satisfaction or approval. After all I’m sure many Tory backers at GE2019 if…

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So far Boris’s leader ratings are holding up well – but that could start to change

So far Boris’s leader ratings are holding up well – but that could start to change

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The Wikipedia chart above shows all the leader ratings for the Prime Minister since the start of the year. As can be seen he has been doing pretty well during the pandemic with some very impressive figures. He’s had big positives throughout. The latest polling though, is all bit old and there has been nothing yet since Boris’s much hyped big address to the nation last Sunday evening. Things have been harder for him in the past few days. Whether…

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Starmer overtakes Johnson in latest YouGov leader ratings

Starmer overtakes Johnson in latest YouGov leader ratings

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Even though he’s only been LAB leader for just five and a half weeks the latest YouGov “well/badly” ratings have Starmer edging ahead of Johnson. The Standard reports: A YouGov survey carried out over the weekend found that 40 per cent of Brits believe the Labour leader is doing either “fairly well” or “very well” and 17 per cent think he is performing “fairly badly” or “very badly”. The Prime Minister is more divisive – 57 per cent think he is doing “fairly well” or “very…

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