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Category: Labour

Whilst the Tories plough on totally divided over Brexit LAB has its worst polling month since GE2017

Whilst the Tories plough on totally divided over Brexit LAB has its worst polling month since GE2017

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If ever there was a period when LAB should be making headways in the polls then surely it has to be at the moment well that always continue to be divided on brexit. The latest David Cowling table above showing the monthly polling averages for each party has LAB at 35%, the worst since the general election. February was also only the second time since then that Corbyn’s party has failed to have at least one polling lead. Generally all…

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At GE2017 CON voters were SIX TIMES more likely to say Brexit was the key factor in deciding votes than LAB ones

At GE2017 CON voters were SIX TIMES more likely to say Brexit was the key factor in deciding votes than LAB ones

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Lord Ashcroft polls Why Brexit is much less of an issue for the red team On General Election day in June 2017 the Conservative peer, Lord Ashcroft, carried out a large sample poll to try to find out why voters had decided in the way they had. A key question was asking what was the main factor in determining the votes and the outcomes for each main group of parties are featured in the chart above. As can be seen…

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Independents’ day. The implications for Jeremy Corbyn

Independents’ day. The implications for Jeremy Corbyn

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I am disappointed that these MPs have felt unable to continue to work together for the Labour policies that inspired millions at the last election and saw us increase our vote by the largest share since 1945. — Jeremy Corbyn (@jeremycorbyn) February 18, 2019 Labour won people over on a programme for the many not the few – redistributing wealth and power, taking vital resources into public ownership, investing in every region and nation, and tackling climate change. — Jeremy…

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On the Betfair exchange LAB’s chances of winning most seats next time drop to a 41% chance

On the Betfair exchange LAB’s chances of winning most seats next time drop to a 41% chance

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Betdata.io chart of movement on the Betfair exchange On what is quite a momentous day in British politics it is quite hard to single out a specific market that has seen change. The one I’ve chosen is the next general election where punters who only last month rated LAB as a 50-50 chance to win most seats now put it at 41%. A lot depends on reaction to the move and whether the development gets traction in the media. For…

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In terms of influence on major policy developments Corbyn today is surely the most powerful opposition leader in decades

In terms of influence on major policy developments Corbyn today is surely the most powerful opposition leader in decades

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It’s possible the UK could end up with a Labour Brexit To me the biggest development of the day was the response by Donald Tusk to the Labour proposal for Brexit. The details envisage a softer brexit then Theresa May’s plan but because of the numbers in the Commons there’s a good chance that this is what could actually be agreed. If so that will be remarkable and something and it’s almost without precedent. Labour could claim that this was…

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“Being seen to back Brexit worse for LAB than invading Iraq”

“Being seen to back Brexit worse for LAB than invading Iraq”

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A poll shown to Momentum and shadow cabinet members shows 'backing Brexit would be worse for Labour than Iraq invasion', @Peston has learnthttps://t.co/8YtByDu6Od pic.twitter.com/DiuTxVLPYp — ITV News (@itvnews) February 6, 2019 Tonight ITV News is carrying a report that a private poll that has been seen by Momentum suggests that LAB seen to be backing Brexit would be worse for the party than the 2003 invasion of Iraq. It is reported that it was commissioned by the Transport Salaried Staffs’…

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Leading Corbynista calls for Labour to introduce US-style primaries to select candidates

Leading Corbynista calls for Labour to introduce US-style primaries to select candidates

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Will party members and the unions be happy about giving up their selection powers? In a Tweet last night one of Labour’s most prominent and leading Corbyn backers, Aaron Bastani, called for what would be a radical change in the way the party selects candidates for Parliament and other elected offices. Instead of the current system which puts just about all the power with Trade Unions and members he wants US style primaries. In the US there are different systems…

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Even if Labour secures an early election it is hard to see how the party wins It

Even if Labour secures an early election it is hard to see how the party wins It

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Corbyn needs CON converts which isn’t happening The main objective of Labour, we are told, during this period of extreme uncertainty over Brexit is to secure an early General Election. To do that it will need to win enough backing for a confidence motion that defeats the government that is not rescinded within two weeks. The MP totals for each party make that very difficult except if some means can be created for the DUP’s 10 MPs to back Labour…

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