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Corporeal on the Corbyn excitement factor

Corporeal on the Corbyn excitement factor

“The Labour party is a moral crusade or it is nothing” was Harold Wilson’s rallying cry to the Labour conference a little over fifty years ago (somewhat unusually for political quotations it seems clear that he did actually say it). Twelve years later he was declaring they were now a “natural party of government”. It’s an awkwardly matched pair of declarations that have rung down the decades since (put either into google today and you find clichéd* starting points for…

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A new day has dawned for Labour as Corbyn wins on the first round

A new day has dawned for Labour as Corbyn wins on the first round

Corbyn wins on the first ballot with a higher share of the vote than Blair did in 1994 pic.twitter.com/upXinPwvKo — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 12, 2015 Tom Watson wins the deputy leadership on the third round of voting. pic.twitter.com/HnaOro0Wg2 — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 12, 2015 His 59.5% is higher than the 57% Blair received in 1994 All those Burnham supporters that lent Corbyn some nominations to make it on to the ballot paper to see a broader debate will be feeling…

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So much fun, let’s do it all again

So much fun, let’s do it all again

Will Labour’s winner have a clear mandate? 2015 hasn’t been the happiest of years for Labour. They have had worse ones – 1931, perhaps – but it’s still been a bit of a shocker. Today’s leadership election result ought to close that chapter and open a new and more hopeful one. Unfortunately for those desperate to put the Miliband era behind them, that may not be the case. The irregularities of the leadership election, where many members and supporters haven’t…

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Some fashion advice for Jeremy Corbyn

Some fashion advice for Jeremy Corbyn

Michael Foot at the Cenotaph on Remembrance Sunday 1981 wearing the ‘donkey jacket’ that wasn’t pic.twitter.com/aPRxo3ngoI — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 11, 2015 Mr Corbyn needs to choose his wardrobe and words very carefully If as expected Labour elect Jeremy Corbyn, his first official appearance as Leader of Her Majesty’s Most Loyal Opposition won’t be Prime Minister’s Questions next Wednesday but a day earlier when the new Labour Leader should be attending a commemoration of the seventy-fifth anniversary of the Battle…

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Voting has now closed and the speculation begins

Voting has now closed and the speculation begins

Predicted #Labour vote shares, based on Ladbrokes' odds. Corbyn wins on first preferences. pic.twitter.com/EgaL2onfCu — Ladbrokes Politics (@LadPolitics) September 10, 2015 A £6000 bet on Corbyn in Essex betting shop as his odds shorten again, from 1/6 to 1/7; 7/1 Cooper; 9/1 Burnham; 150/1 Kendall. #Corbyn — William Hill (@sharpeangle) September 10, 2015 Diane Abbott cut from 33/1 to 20/1 to be London Mayor as voting for Labour's candidate closes. http://t.co/QRYVOgWrgr pic.twitter.com/ovHwgpTd0W — Ladbrokes Politics (@LadPolitics) September 10, 2015 .@itvnews…

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Tomorrow we might get an indication if Corbynmania is all mouth and no ballots

Tomorrow we might get an indication if Corbynmania is all mouth and no ballots

A victory for Baroness Jowell might give hope to the Anyone But Corbyn movement Assuming no more problems, sometime on Friday Labour will announce who has won the race to be their candidate for London Mayor. It could be that the result of this race could help be a pointer to the Labour leadership result. Lady Jowell as a Blairite should theoretically be the least appealing candidate to the returning left that have so dominated the electorate for these elections. A…

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Why Corbyn might not win the Labour leadership

Why Corbyn might not win the Labour leadership

All the ingredients for Corbyn to lose are there The Labour leadership contest seems to share a lot of the characteristics of the 2015 general election. We have the overwhelming enthusiastic social media support for a flawed candidate (that might not end up actually casting their vote), shy Tories*, the polls showing only outcome and betting sentiment heavily in favour of the polling outcome. We’ve only had two public polls on this leadership election and the potential sampling and weighting…

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Hills starting taking bets on when we’ll see the likes of this again – LAB winning a majority

Hills starting taking bets on when we’ll see the likes of this again – LAB winning a majority

The Exit poll. 10pm May 5th 2005 Will Corbyn make the red-team unelectable? AS JEREMY CORBYN’s LAB leader odds are cut to their shortest yet at 2/9 (stake £9 for potential £2 profit) by William Hill, the bookies have also opened a market on when Labour will next achieve an overall majority government – and make between 2026-30 their 5/2 favourite – offering just 3/1 that it will not happen before 2031. Hill’s spokesman Graham Sharpe said ‘With so many…

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