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Will the unfunded pledge charges stick on Cameron? After seeing his ratings steadily deteriorate against the Tory leader Gordon Brown has now found a new line of attack in the hope of bringing about a change. His Treasury team are claiming that David Cameron has made 40 unfunded spending commitments since becoming leader which would require billions of pounds of extra taxes to fund. In what sounds like the way that Prime Minister Brown would seek to deal with the…

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How will Labour deal with the abolition of the Normanton seat? The news before the weekend that Labour’s effort to save the Normantion seat has been turned down by the high court was over-shadowed by the Head of the Army’s comments about Iraq. Although not on the same scale the court’s backing for the Boundary Committee’s ruling sets Labour an enormous problem. An indication of the importance of this is that the local Labour council risked being attacked for agreeing…

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Is the Chancellor now unstoppable? After the odd betting activity of the past two weeks all the money in the Labour leadership betting now seems to be going on Gordon Brown. As the price chart shows those who were betting against him at prices up to 0.58/1 now seemed to have withdrawn and the best you can get this morning is 0.46/1. So a £100 bet winning today would produce would produce a profit of £46 – earlier in the…

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But can Labour MPs risk giving the Tory leader the trophy of the PM’s head With David Cameron enjoying what are by far and away his best ever PMQ reviews in the papers this morning the question has to be asked – how much more of this can Tony Blair take? Could the apparent impossibility of his position force a departure much earlier than next summer? My first reaction on watching the recording was to log onto Betfair to get…

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Why isn’t the Chancellor’s price tightening? After this morning’s Populus Poll showing that neither John Reid or Alan Johnson would do better against Cameron than Gordon Brown I finally came to the view that it would take very unusual circumstances indeed for the Chancellor not to succeed Tony Blair. My line until now was that what could derail Brown’s chances would be hard polling evidence that another contender would perform better. That could still happen of course but it is…

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Why can’t we bet on Labour’s other battle? The overnight headlines following Jack Straw’s comments about Muslim women wearing the veil has fueled further speculation about the Deputy Leadership chances of the former Foreign Secretary and leader of the House, Jack Straw. Were his comments, which he must have realised would attract the big headlines, part of his plan to raise his profile ahead of next year’s election to choose John Prescott’s succession? He’s quoted as saying that before going…

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