Does the government need to do less – but do it better? A powerful critique by former minister, Nick Raynsford, in the latest New Statesman of the efforts by the Brown government to win back public support has been picked up by many of the papers this morning. Inevitably this is being seen as part of the moves to back the leadership ambitions of David Miliband. Ranysford writes: “…There is no single ‘Get Out of Jail’ card, and it is…
His final PMQs before the 2007 recess and the election U-turn If you’ve got a few minutes just click on the picture above to watch Brown take the last PMQs of July 2007 when everything was going so right for him. Watching his body language, listening to a very different intonation in his voice, looking at how he dealt with Cameron and it is as though you are in a different era. He’s relaxed, confident, and delivered very effectively the…
How can they select someone who could make matters worse? The only point for Labour to go through the pain of changing the leader again is to improve the party’s chances at the next election. In June 2007, as I keep on reminding people, Labour MPs ignored the overwhelming polling evidence, that has since been proved correct, that Gordon would be an electoral disaster. So how are we to assess the reports that a union-backed joint Johnson-Cruddas ticket is being…
Has he really got what it takes to undermine Cameron? Now there’s a headline, I know, designed to provoke a largish slice of the PB audience but it could be correct. For every Labour person I’ve spoken to over the past forty-eight hours, and for various reasons that has been quite a few, has told how under Gordon they are heading for oblivion but that David Miliband is “the one” who can turn the party’s fortunes round. They believe passionately…
Revised But more ammunition for those who want Gord out The News of the World has a poll from YouGov, giving David Cameron’s Conservatives yet another healthy over Gordon Brown’s Labour government – 20 percentage points although it is down a couple of notches from the last survey from the firm nine days ago. Amongst the non-voting intention questions nearly half of those who took part said Brown should quit and and 49% say they would prefer Tony Blair as…
What are the chances of him still being there on election day? Probably the best long-term market where we can plot trends on betting attitudes to Gordon’s survival is the one from Betfair on the line-up of party leaders at the general election. When it was opened, in June 2007, Ming Campbell was in the mix. He’s now moved on and the “runner” that reflects views on the PM’s survival is the Brown/Cameron price. Surprisingly this market has not attracted…
Henry G Manson looks at the record to assess the chances One of the first things sports punters try to assess is recent form. In political betting this information is scarce and can make for a punting minefield. However last year’s Labour deputy leadership results provide a form guide of sorts for a leadership contest this side of an election. Despite recent exuberance, it doesn’t look at all good for David Miliband who is leading the charge from the Blairite…
Could it be months, years or even more than a decade? Exactly a year ago we ran a competition here asking when entrants thought that the Conservatives would regain their poll lead over Labour. The thread makes an interesting read. At the time the Tory deficit ranged from 3% to 9% (the biggest coming from YouGov) and it took the party just two months to restore the situation. The current Labour deficits are reproduced above and the question now is…