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LAB leadership round-up on the afternoon the Appeal Court said the new members could NOT vote

LAB leadership round-up on the afternoon the Appeal Court said the new members could NOT vote

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Labour CAN Ban 130,000 Members From Voting In Leadership Contest, Rules Court of Appeal https://t.co/2t3oQZPM73 — Owen Bennett (@owenjbennett) August 12, 2016 Owen Smith now 13% chance on Betfair. After initial court ruling he was at 6% pic.twitter.com/fQ5sd6Ci76 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 12, 2016 https://twitter.com/jimwaterson/status/764109997223448576 David Cowling's analysis. How different LAB leaders were doing in polls 10 months in. pic.twitter.com/NwhCYyOtFg — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 12, 2016

LAB only 7% behind according to YouGov but another, from TNS, has the gap at 13%

LAB only 7% behind according to YouGov but another, from TNS, has the gap at 13%

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And more dreadful rating numbers for the embattled LAB leader With the ballots due to go out in the LAB leadership contest in two and a bit weeks every new poll is going to be looked at in the context of its impact on the race. The main case against Mr. Corbyn is that outside his group of wildly enthusiastic supporters he looks like an election loser. If the party is to have any chance at all, his detractors argue,…

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Don Brind sticks his neck out and argues that the leadership race is now “too close to call”

Don Brind sticks his neck out and argues that the leadership race is now “too close to call”

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Corbyn could be heading for a shock There’s an unmistakeable mood of triumphalism in the Corbyn camp after their victory in the High court over allowing all new members to use their vote and a slew of results which have been widely interpreted as showing Jeremy Corbyn really does have momentum. I believe the contest is very tight and that Owen Smith has a very good chance of victory. I’m undoubtedly sticking my neck out because I’m at odds with…

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Owen Smith team says it has private LAB leadership poll with Corbyn below 50%

Owen Smith team says it has private LAB leadership poll with Corbyn below 50%

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Owen Smith source says private polling shows Corbyn on less than 50% for the first time with "a lot of don't knows". — George Eaton (@georgeeaton) August 10, 2016 Owen Smith team need to publish actual poll rather than just brief journos. If JC really below 50% then actual data would have big impact — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 10, 2016 This is the sort of development that drives me crazy. If Smith really does have a private poll with…

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Ex-LAB MP and PB regular, Nick Palmer, on why a party split won’t work

Ex-LAB MP and PB regular, Nick Palmer, on why a party split won’t work

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It’s pretty clear that Corbyn has won the re-run, and talk of trying once more next year has faded amid eye-rolling on all sides at the thought of doing it all over again. Instead, the hard-core anti-Corbyn wing has started to talk about a split. This could take two forms: A Parliament-only split. The objective would be to win over more than half the MPs and persuade the Speaker that this meant that the rebels were the real official opposition…

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Corbyn wrecks McDonnell’s economic credibility plans

Corbyn wrecks McDonnell’s economic credibility plans

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Don Brind on how Corbyn’s out of line with his shadow chancellor For someone who insisted for years that Twitter wouldn’t catch on I’m pathetically pleased these days when one of my tweets gets liked. I was somewhat surprised to get a “like” from a committed Corbynite Mrs Gee. I had told her  “I’m a bit of a fan of John McDonnell — when he’s doing his day job”. The qualification was crucial. By day job I meant Shadow Chancellor and…

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Smith’s leadership chances fall to a 6% chance on Betfair following High Court ruling on who’ll be able to vote

Smith’s leadership chances fall to a 6% chance on Betfair following High Court ruling on who’ll be able to vote

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https://twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/status/762596287661412352 #Breaking Five new members of the Labour Party win High Court battle over right to vote in leadership election pic.twitter.com/zwwbh4M4lu — PA Media (@PA) August 8, 2016 FOR SALE: Spare vote in Labour leadership contest. One previous, careful owner. Unused. £25 o.n.o — Robert Harris (@Robert___Harris) August 8, 2016 https://twitter.com/jimwaterson/status/762592462732926976 It is very hard to come to a view about what will be the electoral impact of today’s judgement. There is so much overlap between the new members who…

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Cyclefree suggests that Smith and Corbyn go back to Labour’s roots

Cyclefree suggests that Smith and Corbyn go back to Labour’s roots

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A guest slot on the contest for the LAB leadership The current fight for the leadership of the Labour Party seems so far to be presented as a choice between who will make the better leader, with the requirements of leadership being defined either as the person most in tune with the membership or the person most able to win votes from non-members.  Nothing unusual about this, you might think.  There seems to be very little difference on policy, as…

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