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Tuesday is the 54th anniversary the last time a Labour leader other than Tony Blair won a working majority

Tuesday is the 54th anniversary the last time a Labour leader other than Tony Blair won a working majority

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As we approach the end of the Corbyn era I thought it would be look at what winning the argument actually looks like. This is not meant as an attack on Corbyn or Labour per se because winning a working majority is bloody hard. Prior to Boris Johnson’s victory last December in the last 49 years no Tory had won a working majority other than Margaret Thatcher. It shows the difficulty of Corbyn’s successor, whoever that may be, winning a…

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The exit door. The state of Labour as Jeremy Corbyn departs

The exit door. The state of Labour as Jeremy Corbyn departs

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What of Labour?  This is a question that almost no one is thinking about as, almost unnoticed, Jeremy Corbyn slips out of the limelight.  Like the Magnificent Ambersons, Labour have got their comeuppance. They’d got it three times filled and running over. But those who had longed for it were not there to see it. And they never knew it, those who were still living had forgotten all about it, and all about them. That irrelevance bodes ill for Labour. …

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Labour must get over its myth of 2017 if it is to win again

Labour must get over its myth of 2017 if it is to win again

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A well-timed aberration is still an aberration Keir Starmer looks well set to win Labour’s leadership election in April. After securing comfortable leads among MPs, CLPs and affiliate organisations in the previous rounds, YouGov reported this week that he holds a 22% lead over Rebecca Long-Bailey, and is more likely than not to win on the first round. If he does, it will be in no small part down to the last set of rule changes which at the time…

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Starmer gets the best ratings from both all voters and LAB members in new large sample Ashcroft poll

Starmer gets the best ratings from both all voters and LAB members in new large sample Ashcroft poll

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He’s the only leader or deputy contender in positive territory There’s a new large sample Lord Ashcroft poll that’s been published overnight that looks back at the general election particularly the reasons for the LAB defeat and looks forward to the coming LAB leadership ballot which starts later this month. The full report is well worth downloading. The report also includes the findings of a series of focus groups which are worthy of a separate header in themself. The part…

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The Blair Supremacy. Rating Corbyn as a politician

The Blair Supremacy. Rating Corbyn as a politician

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Memo to Mr Corbyn and his supporters: This is what the winning the argument looks like. So no Miss Long-Bailey, Corbyn’s doesn’t deserve 10 out of 10 as a politician unless you’re a Tory. I suspect once Labour come to terms that Blair is the only Labour politician to have won a majority in the 45 years then they will begin their road to recovery. TSE

BMG finds just 2% of voters back Long-Bailey for LAB leader with 61% saying they haven’t heard of her’

BMG finds just 2% of voters back Long-Bailey for LAB leader with 61% saying they haven’t heard of her’

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And there’s little support for Corbyn’s claim to have “won the argument” The main poll this weekend is by BMG for the Independent which looks at both the policy profile that would command support and views of possible replacements for two-time loser, Corbyn who led his party to its worst general election since 1935. This, of course, is a general poll which is representative of the electorate as a whole and not Labour’s seleorate which will decide who the new…

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Labour’s last chance?

Labour’s last chance?

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You can only play with fire for so long before being burned Labour is rather fortunate. Rather than looking on at a mere disaster, its members and supporters could have been witness to the electorate having smote the ruin of a once-great party unto the dust. Despite Boris Johnson having led the Tories to their highest vote share since 1979 – and their sixth successive increase in share, the last three in government – there was surely the potential to…

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PB GE2019 Analysis: Corbyn’s Satisfaction Ratings at elections

PB GE2019 Analysis: Corbyn’s Satisfaction Ratings at elections

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I’ve written before about Jeremy Corbyn’s personal ratings difficulties, and they did not improve in the following months. In September and October of 2019, he racked up satisfaction ratings of -60, the lowest any Leader of the Opposition has rated since Ipsos-Mori started polling it in 1977 (snatching the record from Michael Foot). In October that came from satisfied a rating of 15%, the third lowest rating on record (narrowly losing out to William Hague in June of 1997 and…

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