Sorry for the delay but here are some pictures from last weekend’s PBC party. If people could identify who is who in the comments I will fill in the gaps. Picture one– Iain Dale, David Davis’s chief of staff and owner of Politicos with, behind the beer glass, Guido. Picture two Picture three ? left and David Kendrick right Picture four – ??, Valerie and Tom Thumb Picture five Anthony Wells with Guido still trying to protect his identity!! Picture…
PB.C party-goers discuss the chances Saturday’s second PB.C party attracted 40+ site regulars including Anthony Wells, founder of UK Polling Report, Guido Fawkes and Ian Dale, the owner of Politicos and who served as David Davis’s chief of staff. Clearly the Lib Dem leadership race was a key discussion point with many of the Tories there saying the candidate that they most feared was the former MEP, Nick Clegg, who is not a candidate and has come out strongly for…
Kennedy’s secret critics fail to impress punters The Lib Dem leader’s firm post-Christmas response to those private critics who say, amongst other things, that he does not have the charisma of a Cameron or a Blair has reinforced the doubts of reluctant punters in the Next Lib Dem leader market. For in spite of all the coverage there has been very little betting on his replacement. Betfair’s market has seen just £5,302 in matched bets with barely £800 going on…
Who’ll be PB.C’s top forecaster of 2006? With so many question marks hanging over the UK domestic political scene it’s is going to be quite a challenge working out what is going to happen in the next twelve months. Will Blair and Kennedy go? Who will be the new leaders? Is the poll boost for Cameron’s Conservatives just a temporary thing or will it be sustained. All these issues and more are covered in our competition for the year which…
How can more people be persuaded to vote? Tomorrow I’ve been invited to take part in a “power lunch” at the Adam Smith Institute at which at which pollsters, journalists and others with a keen interest in the election process will discuss with Sam Younger, Chairman of the Electoral Commission, ways of boosting voter turnout in UK elections. And in thinking about the issue it struck me that the decline in turn-out is closely correlated to the emergence of digital…
Well, 12 months after Politicalbetting got its own server we are hitting technical constraints again (mostly due to the frequency of Andrea’s posting). This weekend I will be updating both the hardware and the software to try and (a) increase reliability, and (b) introduce some new features. Hopefully this won’t be too disruptive, with maybe one or two hours of downtime in total. I’ll try and keep the bulk of this to “off peak” hours. Thanks for your patience, Robert
The Chancellor’s price tightens as punters sense an earlier promotion? With today’s YouGov poll of Tory members showing a comfortable 2 to 1 one margin in favour of Cameron the only betting interest left is on the scale of the victory. Even the Daily Mail has now come out for the 39 year old. Labour, meanwhile, looks a lot more interesting. On the betting market on who will be the next leader sentiment has moved sharply to the Chancellor since…
Full details of the poll that shook the markets Populus Polls have now published on their website the full data set of today survey in the Times which has sent punters running to David Davis and changed the way in which many are viewing the contest. The headline was that Tory supporters were supporting Davis over Cameron by 50%-37% – a huge turnround from other recent polls in this contest. When news of the poll first emerged late last night…