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Category: General

Sean Fear’s Friday slot

Sean Fear’s Friday slot

Has Labour Lost the Overspill Estates for Good? From the late 1940s to the 1960s, when land surrounding London was cheap and plentiful, many London authorities built large council estates in the surrounding Home Counties. These varied enormously in size, from a few hundred houses in places like Ashwood Road, Potters Bar, through to estates of many thousands, in places like Borehamwood, Harlow, Loughton, Hemel Hempstead, Crawley, Hatfield, and Stevenage. Such has been London’s expansion over the years, that some…

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And now we have the Davids…..

And now we have the Davids…..

YouGov reports a Tory lead of 3% In a most staggering turnaround the internet pollster which restricts its surveys to members of its polling panel, YouGov has these shares in its latest poll. CON 41% (+5): LAB 38% (-2): LD 11% (-2). The comparisons are with the last YouGov poll where the fieldwork finished only two days ago. Only a week ago the pollster had the Tories 11% behind with C32-L43-LD15. The changes for each party are just amazing. Mike…

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ICM poll gives Tories 6% lead in 50 marginals

ICM poll gives Tories 6% lead in 50 marginals

Just broadcast on BBC News 24. No further details at the moment. UPDATE – this is how it is being reported on the paper’s website:- GORDON Brown will LOSE his majority and be forced to battle for control of a hung parliament if he decides to call a snap General Election according to an exclusive poll in tomorrow’s News of the World. The ICM poll of the key marginal constituencies that will decide whether he stays in power reveals he…

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So where does Gordon stand now?

So where does Gordon stand now?

Markets move sharply after the reports from Downing Street With the dramatic news this afternoon that a November is off there’s been a lot of activity on the various general election betting markets. In addition there was a report by Nick Robinson on the BBC that a poll of marginals would show that Labour could lose power. There are no details on that but it has forced the Labour spreads right down on the spread markets. The latest from Spreadfair…

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PBC’s first 100,000 day

PBC’s first 100,000 day

Our site statistics have gone through the roof as speculation about a general election continues to mount. The above table shows the total number of page downloads and as can be seen yesterday we broke though the 100,000 mark for the first time ever. The number of unique visitors is about fifth to a quarter of the page downloads. Sky News tomorrow morning. The site will be featured on Sky New tomorrow from about 8.40am. They are sending a satellite…

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Can Gord blank Dave out of the news again?

Can Gord blank Dave out of the news again?

Has Gord’s caution saved the day? Just two mornings ago, before David Cameron had made his big speech, I suggested that Brown could be “making a terrible mistake” over the build-up to a general election announcement. This is what I wrote: “All the thinking, apparently, has been based on opinion polls that have been taken in the most exceptional of circumstances. As many poll-watchers were saying in May and June it was not going to be possible to get a…

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It’s one lonely Gordon with ICM

It’s one lonely Gordon with ICM

Tories move to their highest share since March Polls are coming thick and fast tonight and the latest, from ICM for the Guardian, has the Tories on 38% within just one point of Labour. The shares compared with the last survey from the pollster are CON 38%(+5): LAB 39% (nc): LD 16% (-4) This is the best Tory share in an ICM poll since March – three months before Brown took over. Mike Smithson