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Category: General Election

A worry for LAB? The gloss could be coming off Corbyn’s appeal to young voters

A worry for LAB? The gloss could be coming off Corbyn’s appeal to young voters

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Perhaps the great hope of Corbyn’s Labour is that when the next general election comes, whenever that is, comes that the party will be able to repeat the GE2017 feat and secure huge backing from the youth vote. It was this, of course, combined with a much reduced turnout by the over-65s, that resulted in Theresa May GE17 gamble failing and the Tories losing their majority. Maybe young voters will central again but there’s some evidence now that support from…

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Labour reveals some of its English targets for the next election

Labour reveals some of its English targets for the next election

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All but one of them is outside London Even though we could be four and a half years away from the next general election LAB is clearly getting ready and today it has announced that candidates have been put in place in 24 key targets in England. The seats involved are listed in the table above which include the names of the incumbent Conservative MPs as well as the swings required. This comes from a confident party that did far…

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Only problem Paul (Mason) is that Corbyn’s LAB needs 7-10% vote lead to win majority

Only problem Paul (Mason) is that Corbyn’s LAB needs 7-10% vote lead to win majority

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18/ Our biggest challenge is to maintain Labour as an alliance of social democrats, left-liberals, old-style Bennite socialists and radical leftists – and to turn it into a, or more accurately towards the, social movements.. — Paul Mason (@paulmasonnews) January 16, 2018 We are miles away from seeing the required LAB vote breakthrough Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet

If LAB’s vulnerable on Brexit how come the majority of its GE17 gains from CON were in Leave areas?

If LAB’s vulnerable on Brexit how come the majority of its GE17 gains from CON were in Leave areas?

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And how come that the majority of CON gains were in Remain areas? One of the ongoing narratives over the past year has been that Labour is particularly vulnerable on Brexit because about two-thirds of its constituencies voted leave in the referendum in June 2016. This has continued even though Labour made inroads into the Conservative base on June 8th and only lost 5 seats. What is interesting is looking at the referendum outcomes in the 28 seats that Labour…

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The New Year starts with little cheer for any of the parties

The New Year starts with little cheer for any of the parties

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My big 2018 prediction: The stalemate will continue The above Wikipedia table shows all the final polls of 2017 with the exception of the latest YouGov which had LAB 2% ahead. So at the close of an extraordinary year in British politics which saw a shock General Election the signs are that the two main parties are very close to each other. Labour and its leader Mr Corbyn can take some satisfaction that it wasn’t annihilated, as many, though by…

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Can we agree that “Peak Theresa” was the ComRes 25% lead in the S Mirror on April 23rd 2017?

Can we agree that “Peak Theresa” was the ComRes 25% lead in the S Mirror on April 23rd 2017?

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S Mirror ComRes poll field work April 19-20 CON 50 LAB 25 UKIP 7 LD 11 Over the past day or so may have been lots of eulogies, that’s the best way to describe it, to the extraordinary resilience and staying ower of Theresa May who seems to cope with one crisis after another and still remain at Number 10. Almost all of the articles seek to highlight the poll lead that she had after calling the general election in…

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Corbyn’s new “I’ll be PM by Xmas next year” boast fails to impress punters

Corbyn’s new “I’ll be PM by Xmas next year” boast fails to impress punters

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The markets remain unmoved We all remember the heady days of June this year when after doing surprisingly well at the general election Corbyn was reported to have a told people at Glastonbury that he would be PM by Christmas. Well we are five days away and that certainly isn’t going to happen. But he’s now reported today saying that he expects to be Prime Minister by Christmas 2018. He said “there will probably be another election in the next…

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