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Category: General Election

Will a numbers war work again next time?

Will a numbers war work again next time?

Will Labour be able to use the approach of this 2005 election broadcast? Click on the link above and see how Labour used one of its final election TV slots in the days before the last general election. It’s effective and follows a well-established tested formula that helped underpin the 1997, 2001 and 2005 victories. Looking at it through today eyes, though, it appears outdated. Will this work again? How long will the demonisation of the Tories in this form…

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Are the good times returning for Gordon?

Are the good times returning for Gordon?

Will today’s polls bring a smile back to his face? Following the good news for Labour in last night’s YouGov poll on the London mayoralty there’s a further boost for the party in new national voting intention surveys from YouGov and ICM this morning. And one of them has Labour’s deficit down to just two per cent. The latter finding is in the monthly ICM survey for the Guardian which has, with comparisons on the last poll from the firm…

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Is the “Gordon’s a weirdo” tag a deliberate strategy?

Is the “Gordon’s a weirdo” tag a deliberate strategy?

Could such an approach backfire on Cameron? Yesterday’s characterisation by David Cameron of the Prime Minster as being “that strange man in Downing Street” has prompted a number of Labour-leaning bloggers, including Paul Linford, to suggest that this is part of a Tory plan. This is what Linford wrote:“it’s clear….that portraying his opponent as somehow not one of us is a key part of the Tory leader’s political strategy..Mr Cameron clearly wants to portray himself as This Charming Man, and…

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The Tory commons spreads move up 3-4 seats

The Tory commons spreads move up 3-4 seats

New buy levels put Cameron only 17/18 seats short In the high risk high reward arena of commons seats spread betting there’s been a significant move to the Tories in the aftermath of the Northern Rock statement and the ongoing stock market troubles. When this was last covered here at the end of last week the highest Tory buy level was 304 seats – 21 short of an overall majority. In the past 24 hours there’ve been big moves to…

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Will the Goldman plan ease Gord’s Rock headache?

Will the Goldman plan ease Gord’s Rock headache?

What will the impact of NR be on the next general election? So there we have it. The Darling-Brown plan to solve the Northern Rock crisis without them, on the face of it at least, having to resort to nationalisation. But a lot of tax-payer’s money is still at stake and Vince Cable’s point that ministers have gone for a private sector solution without the private sector risking any money certainly hit home in the commons a short time ago….

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Can the Tories break the 300 seat ceiling?

Can the Tories break the 300 seat ceiling?

The Commons seat spreads – where the serious punters go Reproduced above are this morning’s commons seats spreads from Sporting Index where you bet on how many seats the main parties are going to get at the next election. They show the Conservatives at almost their highest ever since the general election. There has only been one previous period, in late November, when the mid-point (the average of the BUY and SELL levels) has risen about the 300 mark. As…

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Will Labour pay a political price for NR nationalisation?

Will Labour pay a political price for NR nationalisation?

Was action delayed because of the planned November election? With the government having lined up a veteran City executive, Ron Sandler, to run a nationalised Northern Rock there’s been a big downward move on the stock market on the NR share price. The expectation is that if the government steps in then equity investors will suffer. But what is the political price of such a move which has been advocated by the Lib Dem treasury spokesman, Vince Cable, for several…

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Is Gordon now staring defeat in the face?

Is Gordon now staring defeat in the face?

Two more polls show increases in the Labour deficit A week ago Gord returned from his holiday and went on the publicity offensive with a series of set-piece interviews and high profile announcements. For days there was hardly a TV bulletin without him featuring. This wasn’t a re-launch, we were assured, but it had all the makings of one. Brown was trying to get the initiative back and to build on the improvements in Labour polling fortunes that we had…

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