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Category: General Election

From the Commons library a treasure trove of data for election geeks and its FREE to download

From the Commons library a treasure trove of data for election geeks and its FREE to download

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A festive download to share with your loved one To mark the 100th anniversary today of the 1918 election, the first one in which women were able to vote, the Commons library has produced an extraordinarily good document with just about every detail that you would want from every General Election over the past century. There’s table after table and chart after chart of information covering just about everything that serious political geeks might want. And the great thing is…

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Why Jezza should beware of Nicola bearing gifts

Why Jezza should beware of Nicola bearing gifts

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SNP General Election target seats Election Polling LAB’s going to struggle to win the next GE unless there’s a rapid improvement in Scotland Last night Nicola Sturgeon said the SNP would back a Commons no confidence motion against the government if one was tabled by Labour. I’d suggest that Nicola Sturgeon and her team would not be asking for another election now unless it was pretty confident that it would do as well or even better than the 35 Scottish…

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The first months of a Corbyn government

The first months of a Corbyn government

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It’s objectively clear that there is a genuine possibility of a Corbyn government within months, possibly even weeks. That might be after an election, or it might be simply that the Conservatives lose the will to govern: there is a limit to how long governments can function with every vote at risk of failure, and yielding to a minority Labour government which is also subject to hostile majorities at every turn may seem a lesser evil. But there’s been very…

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Defying the odds Theresa ploughs on

Defying the odds Theresa ploughs on

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The three weeks that could make or break the PM It has been observed many times before that the the prime minister, Mrs May, is a remarkably resilient person able to go forward when all seems doomed. Who would have thought in the aftermath of the 2017 General Election debacle that eighteen months on she would still be in Number 10 and be on the brink of securing agreement on the deal that takes Britain out of the EU? Let…

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Once again the money’s going on TMay not making it to the end of the year

Once again the money’s going on TMay not making it to the end of the year

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Her best bet now pic.twitter.com/s0QZJFCJaP — Kevin Maguire (@Kevin_Maguire) November 27, 2018 Now a 28% chance on Betfair The incredible uncertainty about politics at the moment continues and now there is more speculation that Theresa May might be out this year. She could decide to go of her own accord or end up getting voted down by MPs. That of course means 48 letters on real paper to Graham Brady demanding a confidence vote. There’ve been developments on that during…

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After a difficult week since the “deal” was published some welcome polling for TMay from YouGov

After a difficult week since the “deal” was published some welcome polling for TMay from YouGov

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This is as negative for the ERG gang as it is positive for the PM On the front page of the Times  this morning there is a report on part of its latest YouGov poll relating to its TMay trackers asking whether and when she should go. Last week’s poll came just as the Brexit deal was being published and had the most negative numbers yet for the PM. In just a week as the chart above shows there’s been…

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2019 becomes favourite for year of next general election as punters ponder the EU deal

2019 becomes favourite for year of next general election as punters ponder the EU deal

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After all the waiting this is a massive day for Theresa May and for the country’s relationship with Europe. What I find amazing is the number of MPs and other commentators, declaring that this is a bad deal and they haven’t even seen the document yet. Sobeit. At the end of the day the big question will be how many MPs will be ready to put their heads above the parapet and vote for no deal with all that that…

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