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Category: General Election

Unelected PM Boris Johnson maintains his 100% record in Parliament

Unelected PM Boris Johnson maintains his 100% record in Parliament

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Boris Johnson fails to win the backing of enough MPs to hold a snap election next month, falling short of the two-thirds majority required by law Live updates: https://t.co/UcpUupmXtg pic.twitter.com/iGcgvXkkgn — BBC Politics (@BBCPolitics) September 4, 2019 United Kingdom, 2019/20 Manager: Boris Johnson Form: LLL — Alberto Nardelli (@AlbertoNardelli) September 4, 2019 Am hearing many Tory MPs, including majority of Boris Johnson’s Cabinet, believe expelling two former Chancellors, moderates and long serving Tories like @NSoames was huge error. “We’ve got…

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The Cummings & Johnson strategy could well be dubbed as the charge of the light in the head brigade

The Cummings & Johnson strategy could well be dubbed as the charge of the light in the head brigade

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Tonight's @YouGov poll on Scotland for @thetimesscot. Tories down to 3 seats in Scotland as the SNP surge to 51 seats in Westminster election. https://t.co/Ya700pzFuL pic.twitter.com/wkrCSsYDwI — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 3, 2019 Sacrificing some of your MPs is what Sir Humphrey would call a ‘courageous’ move. For a while it has been clear that the strategy (sic) of Boris Johnson and his team is to effectively sacrifice Tory MPs in Scotland and to the Lib Dems in Remain areas of…

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Like the French strategy with the Maginot Line the Cummings & Johnson Brexit strategy might turn out to have a minor flaw

Like the French strategy with the Maginot Line the Cummings & Johnson Brexit strategy might turn out to have a minor flaw

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This is all very reminiscent of the French strategy with the Maginot Line, they weren't prepared for their opponents to go around them. https://t.co/cugJm1Vsfn — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 3, 2019 Or refuse to back early GE 'unless and until' the no-deal block is firmly on the statute book. — Peter Foster (@pmdfoster) September 3, 2019 The @BorisJohnson ‘no deal’ threat strategy is totally illogical when you think about it. No deal cannot BOTH be perfectly manageable (for U.K. audiences) and…

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The betting markets respond to Johnson’s Charles the First Move

The betting markets respond to Johnson’s Charles the First Move

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A no deal brexit seen as more likely UK seen as more likely to leave by Oct 31st My view is that this is Downing Street’s response to the agreement yesterday between all the opposition parties on the best way of stopping no deal. Number 10 can see the challenges ahead so why not use what power it has to curtail parliamentary time? The question is now how will opposition parties and Speaker Bercow react to what is clearly a…

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Before we can make judgements about the outcome of an early general election we need new Scotland only polling

Before we can make judgements about the outcome of an early general election we need new Scotland only polling

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The last one was in June There’s been a lot of GB voting intention polling since Mr Johnson became the new Tory leader and Prime Minister but none of it has been Scotland specific. One thing we do know is that is can be highly misleading keying the latest GB poll shares into Baxter and getting anything that is relevant to Scotland. North of the border, as we all know, is the part of the UK which has seen the…

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Wise thoughts on how the Tories would do in a snap general election from Keiran Pedley

Wise thoughts on how the Tories would do in a snap general election from Keiran Pedley

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It amazes me that people have such short memories. Theresa May was going to walk the 2017 General Election and then didn’t. Perhaps it will be different this time – Johnson will almost certainly run a better campaign it’s true. But perhaps not. Care needed. — Keiran Pedley (@keiranpedley) August 24, 2019 It’s possible to foresee a world where Lib Dem / SNP gains really hurt the Tories & meanwhile Lab run a 2017 style campaign that recovers vote share…

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If BJohnson is planning an election the numbers continue to look good

If BJohnson is planning an election the numbers continue to look good

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And JSwinson’s response to the PM Corbyn suggestion doesn’t seem to have hurt the LDs August is generally a month when we see fewer Westminster voting polls and it’s probably because of the possibility of an early election that this year we’ve seen as many surveys as we have. Even leaving Kantar aside the Tories will feel relatively comfortable about where they are which is being helped by the ongoing poor numbers for Labour. The ambivalence of Corbyn’s party on…

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