Dave might be out-pointing Ed on leader ratings and CON leads on the economy – but the blues remain the most disliked party
Will this be the determining factor at GE2015?
LAB retains its double digit lead in the August Ipsos-MORI phone poll
But the blues edge out of the 20s We’ve got the first details of the Ipsos-MORI poll in the Evening Standard which only gives partial details and wrongly describes “Leader Satisfaction ratings” as “Approval Ratings”. The big news is an increase in those disliking EdM – but let’s wait for proper numbers. I’ll update this post when we get full data from the pollster. Update – the satisfaction ratings Latest Ipsos-MORI leader and government satisfaction ratings. Farage joins the others…
As we await the August IPSOS-MORI poll here are the latest GE2015 outcome prices
Latest GE20115 betting has CON majority best price at 4/1. See chart with prices & where money is going pic.twitter.com/LmPTpEg42y — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 15, 2013 The August political monitor from Ipsos-MORI is expected later this morning with its regular leader satisfaction ratings and great set of charts. No other pollster presents their data in such an attractive and comprehensive way and there’s almost always good analysis from the firm which has been polling longer than anyone else. While…
Harry Hayfield: How retiring MPs could add to Lib Dem woes
With recent polls putting the Liberal Democrats at 10% of the national vote (in a virtual tie with UKIP and half their general election vote in 2010), it is safe to say that most Liberal Democrat activists are starting to get just a little on the edgy side about the next election (now less than 21 months away, assuming there isn’t a vote of no confidence as in Germany a few years ago). The most recent polls suggest that Labour…
After being level pegging with LAB in July the latest ICM poll has CON 3 pts behind
Last month always looked like an outlier Just a month ago the ICM Guardian phone poll sent shocks throughout the political world when it reported that both the blue and red teams were level pegging on 36% each. It really looked as though the CON revival was bearing fruit and the poll helped fuel the “it’s getting much closer” narrative. Some of the pressure that’s been building up on EdM was party down to this single survey from the pollster…
What do you think will be the outcome of the 2015 General Election?
What do you think will be the outcome of the next general election? LAB overall majority LAB most seats but short of majority CON most seats but short of majority CON majority None of the above
Today’s YouGov finds improving perceptions about the state of the economy
But LAB above 40% on voting intentions Note that the changes in the voting chart are with what happened in the same Sunday Times poll at exactly the same time a year ago. Mike Smithson For the latest polling and political betting news Follow @MSmithsonPB
LAB share drops 3 with Opinium and sees its lead down to 7 percent
What's significant about Opinium is that the declining LAB lead is mostly down to its share falling 3% rather than CON progress — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 10, 2013 Cameron's net approval rating with Opinium is minus 15 – his best figures from the online firm since Jan — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 10, 2013