Voting intention with changes on April 3rd LAB 35% (+2) CON 31% (-1) UKIP 15% (-3) LD 9% (NC) SNP 4% (NC) GRE 4% (+2) LAB takes 6% lead wth Panelbase LAB 37% (+4%), CON 31% (-2%), UKIP 16% (-1%), LD 8% (+1%), GRN 4% (-1% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 9, 2015 And Marf for tonight
Tim Montgomerie has got this right Embarrassing: Way too personal from Michael Fallon against Ed Miliband via @SamCoatesTimes pic.twitter.com/wU64AVMvCD — Tim Montgomerie ?? (@montie) April 8, 2015 Some good numbers from TNS for LAB Boost for LAB from TNSLAB 33% (+1) CON 30% (-3) LD 8% (0) UKIP 19% (+3) GREEN 4% (-1) — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 9, 2015
Signs from the @LordAshcroft seat polling on level of party contact that LAB running more intensive ground war pic.twitter.com/88OvE6GaaE — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 8, 2015 Campaign spending limits restrict delivery options We are now in what is legally termed the “short campaign” when the amount of money that can be spent by each candidate is strictly laid down. The maximum is £8,700 + 6p or 9p per elector depending on whether it is borough or county constituency. So in…
There’s an excellent piece by John Rentoul on the issue here. The heading says it all:- “Non-doms: If Osborne was on the ball he would not be left defending a tax perk for the rich. The stupidity of his response is matched only by its laziness. He writes:- “.. the Tories defined themselves as the defenders of global tax avoiders. The stupidity of Osborne’s response is matched only by its laziness. The Conservatives do not seem to realise that there…
OPne new LAB gains found or no CON holds found We’ve just got the latest round of Ashcroft marginals polling where all the fieldwork was between March 30th and April 4th. So all very up to date. The details of the seats included are set out below. As can be seen there are no changes on previous Ashcroft polls in the seats. The battle is very very tight. @LordAshcroft Blackpool N CON hold pic.twitter.com/gkSBnMPxZr — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 8,…
In terms of overall seat numbers:
The Guardian's front page lead on Labour's plans for non doms http://t.co/Ge1YtTRuHI pic.twitter.com/NTa2bcMjvR — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 8, 2015 The first big policy development of the campaign Today’s announcement by Miliband that if they win power they’d end the special tax status of non-doms is the first genuine policy surprise of the campaign and could be quite a tricky one for Cameron/Osborne to respond to. For the perception that the blues are on the side of the rich and…
With what happens in Scotland likely to play a big part in the May 7th outcome the big event tonight was the STV Scottish leaders’ debate. It was powerful and passionate and on a totally different level from the sterile event last Thursday. The clip above is one of the better bits. For Jim Murphy this was a massive night and I thought he did well -though at times might have been too aggressive. Nicola Sturgeon found the going much…