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Will that hold good when real voting starts tomorrow morning? France has some very tight laws on opinion polls including a complete ban on then being published on the day before an election. So the Wikipedia chart above represents all the polling that we will see until we get the exit polls tomorrow evening. The young independent, Emmanuel Macron, is still in the lead and has seen it move up just a touch in the final few days. Le Pen…

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Wikipedia Tuesday’s shock announcement by Mrs May that there is to be an early UK General Election has rather overshadowed events in France where the country’s presidential election takes place on Sunday. In political betting terms this overshadows the British General Election period with over the past week £1.4m being matched on Betfair alone. Sunday sees the first round and if none of the candidates secures 50% of the votes cast, which is highly likely, then there will be a…

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The battle for France is a four horse race #presitrack 17/04MLP 22% (-1)EM 22% (=)FF 21% (+1)JLM 18% (+1)BH 8% (-1)@LesEchos @ORPI_France @radioclassique https://t.co/7ux5fUL7f6 pic.twitter.com/cvdDDGqL8g — OpinionWay (@opinionway) April 17, 2017 Fillon moves to second favourite in the French race after new poll has him within a point of Le Pen pic.twitter.com/tc1Bes3ocD — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 17, 2017

But who will join her? With the French presidential election moving into the final two weeks I thought it might be useful to look at the betting by concentrating on who will make it to the final two. That runoff election takes places a fortnight later on the Sunday after British locals. There are lively betting markets on the first round of the election and I have taken the latest chances based on the Betfair Exchange for my chart above….

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Wikipedia With just 13 days to go till the first round of voting the big move in the polls has been the leftist contender,Jean-Luc Mélenchon, following what are being seen as strong TV debate performances. One poll during the weekend had him on 19% just 4 points Le Len and Macron and at the same level as the Republican Fillon. For the moment he seems to have momentum with him and we do know that there are much higher proportion…

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French polling watchdog issues warning after Russian news report claims Fillon regains lead. He's 3rd https://t.co/d4TLEo9qRk — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 3, 2017 Fillon moves sharply in the betting to 19% at Macron’s expense All the movememt in the French betting in the past 24 hours has been to the Republicn candidate, Francois Fillon, following a Russian news report quoting a Russian “poll” that he’s now in the lead. This is the Telegraph report “..In a statement released on Sunday,…

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