politicalbetting.com

Could there be a glimmer of hope in one of the results? The next stage of the seemingly never-ending quest to find the nominees for November’s presidential election moves to Washington DC tonight and to the two neighbouring states – Maryland and Virginia. The success of Mike Huckabee at the weekend has given life to the only serious contender fighting John McCain for the GOP crown. He won two contests on Saturday and there’s a big argument still going on…

Read More Read More

Confidence erodes after defeats and her campaign manager going The chart shows the changing views of the contenders for the Democratic crown over seven says which has seen “Super Tuesday“, “Significant Saturday” and Sunday’s caucuses in Maine. The betting prices are reflected as implied probabilities and, as can be seen, there’s been a further big drift in Hillary’s price with a corresponding tightening in Obama’s position. On the Betfair exchange the Obama odds are now 0.45/1 with Hillary out at…

Read More Read More

Will PaddyPower pay out to Huckabee Kansas backers? With both the caucuses in Washington State and Nebraska now being predicted for Obama with overwhleming majorities we wait for the primary result in Lousiana where the exit polls have Obama ahead. After “Super Tuesday” these latest elections are being dubbed “Significant Saturday” On Sunday we have the Maine caucuses where 24 delegates are at stake. What will they call that? The big betting story has been from the Republican caucuses in…

Read More Read More

For US election junkies it’s another late night As we go into another weekend of frenzied activity in the race for the White House the above are the latest “head-to-head” polling figures from Real Clear Politics comparing how Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton would fare facing up to the Republican John McCain in a general election. The numbers are good for the junior senator from Illinois but still Hillary is leading when Democratic-leaning voters are asked who they would favour….

Read More Read More

Is it now impossible for either to win enough elected delegates? The Washington Post’s Paul Kane, in an interesting post highlighted by Taegan Goddard’s Politicalwire, suggests that it is now mathematically impossible for either Barack Obama or Hillary Clinton to pick up enough elected (pledged) delegates and that there’s a distinct possibility that the decision could be left in the hands of the so called “super-delegates”. If so then there could be no effective Democratic candidate until the party’s convention…

Read More Read More