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Category: WHITE HOUSE RACE

A Marf cartoon on the USA – the day afterwards

A Marf cartoon on the USA – the day afterwards

The afternoon after the night before – Marf gives her take twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 7, 2012 If you would like to purchase one of Marf’s prints or originals, please contact her here. For the latest polling and political betting news from the US and UK Follow @MSmithsonPB

A night on the political betting markets – how punters called it faster than anybody.

A night on the political betting markets – how punters called it faster than anybody.

UK-based punters beat the pundits Throughout the long night of the White House race the most striking feature for the punters was how the betting markets were much faster responding to events and the information available than any of the so-called pundits. As the news was coming in I Tweeted a number of shots showing the Romney price movement on Betfair and how sentiment moved so sharply away from the Republican challenger on the basis of the very first exit…

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As we approach the end of voting the Romney price edges up. Obama punters seem a bit nervous.

As we approach the end of voting the Romney price edges up. Obama punters seem a bit nervous.

Romney making recovery on Betfair. Are Obama punters getting nervous? See Romney price chart over 12 hours twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 6, 2012 This is the timetable for tonight thanks to Politicalwire showing when voting ends in each state. 0000 GA, IN, KY, SC, VT, VA 0030 NC, OH, WV 0100 AL, CT, DE, DC, FL, IL, ME, MD, MA, MS, MO, NH, NJ, OK, PA, RI, TN 0130 AR 0200 AZ, CO, KS, LA, MI, MN, NE,…

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A Marf prediction cartoon and the PB-William Hill White House competition

A Marf prediction cartoon and the PB-William Hill White House competition

This cartoon on forecasting the US election will be going up on Politicalbetting.com later. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 6, 2012 How do you think you are going to do? Election day and thanks to Marf for her cartoon on Nate Silver. As many will recall thanks to the generosity of William Hill we were able to launch in September the 2012 White House Race prediction competition. All you had to do was guess the vote share winner gap,down…

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Just 0.4 percentage points separate the two men on the eve of the election

Just 0.4 percentage points separate the two men on the eve of the election

The final swing state polls from Politicalwire, Colorado: Obama 52%, Romney 46% (Public Policy Polling) Florida: Romney 52%, Obama 47% (InsiderAdvantage) Florida: Obama 50%, Romney 49% (Public Policy Polling) Florida: Romney 50%, Obama 48% (Pulse Opinion Research) Florida: Obama 50%, Romney 45% (Zogby) Florida: Obama 49%, Romney 45% (UNF) Iowa: Romney 49%, Obama 48% (American Research Group) New Hampshire: Obama 51%, Romney 48% (WMUR) New Hampshire: Obama 49%, Romney 49% (American Research Group) New Hampshire: Obama 50%, Romney 46% (New…

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