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Category: WHITE HOUSE RACE

Don’t read too much into primary polls at this point in the electoral cycle

Don’t read too much into primary polls at this point in the electoral cycle

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In September 2007 eventual nominee John McCain was polling poorly. https://t.co/29bc8Nm00y pic.twitter.com/qUHfT2oQHT — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 27, 2015 Out of the fifteen polls completed in September 2007, John McCain the eventual nominee didn’t lead in any of them polling as low as 10% and generally being in a distant third/fourth place behind the frontrunners Rudy Giuliani and Fred Thompson who were polling in the 30s. In October 2007 McCain polled as low as 8%. In early September 2011 the polling…

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Hillary looks set to struggle in New Hampshire but Sanders unlikely to be much of a threat elsewhere

Hillary looks set to struggle in New Hampshire but Sanders unlikely to be much of a threat elsewhere

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Hillary now 16% BEHIND Sanders in New Hampshire – the state she won in 2008 pic.twitter.com/mcWGSGivVW — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 25, 2015 Where does the Democratic race stand now? Hillary Clinton continues to dominate the betting for the Democratic nomination for next year’s White House Race. She has slipped a bit but she is still a very tight odds on favourite. Her main opponent who has declared himself is the 74 year old Bernie Sanders an independent senator from…

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Ahead of tonight’s GOP debate Ben Carson moves to within 4 points of Trump in New Hampshire

Ahead of tonight’s GOP debate Ben Carson moves to within 4 points of Trump in New Hampshire

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Latest Betfair prices on the GOP nomination. Jeb Bush still the favourite pic.twitter.com/v1YvZ6wrWb — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 16, 2015 Ahead of tonight’s debate CNN report Ben Carson is closing in on Donald Trump in New Hampshire, according to a new poll out Wednesday, just hours before the candidates will face off against each other in the second Republican primary debate. Trump is still leading GOP candidates and has 22% of likely voters in the New Hampshire Republican primary, according to…

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We have the first poll with Trump leading Clinton

We have the first poll with Trump leading Clinton

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We have the first poll with Trump leading Clinton. http://t.co/ADnajMGgy8 pic.twitter.com/zFySSGDJkJ — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 6, 2015 A poll by Survey USA was released this weekend and it found. Republican presidential front-runner Donald Trump leads Democrat Hillary Clinton head-to-head, according to a new poll released Friday. The poll by SurveyUSA finds that matched up directly, Trump garners 45 percent to Clinton’s 40 percent. In other head-to-head matchups, Trump beats out Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) by 44 percent to 40 percent; Vice…

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Is Hillary in trouble and can ‘The Donald’ last?

Is Hillary in trouble and can ‘The Donald’ last?

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Whilst Clinton and Trump set the pace, a host of other candidates are waiting in the wings.  Polling expert Keiran Pedley runs the rule over the 2016 US Presidential hopefuls. Having spent the past week in the U.S. visiting my wife’s parents I have been able to spend some time looking at the 2016 US Presidential race in detail. Make no mistake, the campaign is in full swing, with Iowa and New Hampshire just a few short months away. I…

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The way’s clear for Carly Fiorina to take on Trump directly in the next GOP debate on September 16th

The way’s clear for Carly Fiorina to take on Trump directly in the next GOP debate on September 16th

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Carly Fiorina gets promoted to the top table for the Sep 16 CNN Republican nominee debate pic.twitter.com/vl1RXievEm — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 2, 2015 CNN changes its rules so she can be at the top table One of the huge problems for US broadcasters is that so many people have declared themselves as contenders for the Republican party nomination. The current count is about 16 or 17 which clearly is far too big a number for a TV debate to…

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Iowa shock for Hillary Clinton as the state’s most accurate pollster has her caucus lead down to just 7%

Iowa shock for Hillary Clinton as the state’s most accurate pollster has her caucus lead down to just 7%

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New Des Moines Register poll from Iowa, 1st state to decide, has Hillary lead down to 7%http://t.co/mkKa7O4us4 pic.twitter.com/ZsI6IBVIPb — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 30, 2015 If she looks vulnerable it could open up the whole race In the next five months we are going to hear an awful lot from Iowa which traditionally, with its caucuses, is the first state to decide on choosing a contender for the White House race. Because this is not a normal primary where people…

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