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Category: WHITE HOUSE RACE

Kamala Harris – my WH2020 66/1 pick from two years ago – set to enter the race a week on Monday

Kamala Harris – my WH2020 66/1 pick from two years ago – set to enter the race a week on Monday

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Now joint favourite for the Democratic nomination This is from my post under the heading “My 66/1 long-shot bet for the 2020 White House race: Democratic Senator Kamala Harris from California” from January 18th 2017 – two days before Donald Trump was inaugurated as President. “..With Trump’s inauguration taking place on Friday there’s been a flurry of betting activity on the newly elected Senator from California, Kamala Harris, for the next White House Race in 2020. This followed a lot…

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Bernie Sanders reported to be struggling to hang on to his WH2016 backers as he ponders WH2020

Bernie Sanders reported to be struggling to hang on to his WH2016 backers as he ponders WH2020

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Next year 2019 one of the big US events that will dominate political betting will be the fight for the WH2020 Democratic party nomination. The early polling here is really not that useful because it is mostly about name recognition and one of the big names is Bernie Sanders, the socialist from Vermont. He far exceeded expectations in the Democratic primary battle with Hillary Clinton and the question is whether the 77 year old will throw his hat into the…

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CNN reveals document on Russian tower deal signed by Trump contradicting what his lawyer’s been saying

CNN reveals document on Russian tower deal signed by Trump contradicting what his lawyer’s been saying

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A newly obtained document shows President Donald Trump signed a letter of intent to move forward with negotiations to build a Trump Tower in Russia, despite his attorney Rudy Giuliani claiming on Sunday the document was never signed. https://t.co/FqppeMkkVa pic.twitter.com/yZyTiRMYs5 — Cuomo Prime Time (@CuomoPrimeTime) December 19, 2018 With the Russian collusion investigation continuing to dominate US politics CNN has revealed overnight a letter of intent signed by Mr Trump in 2015 on the plan to build a Trump Tower…

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Beto O’Rourke, third favourite for WH2020, gets closer to putting his hat into the ring

Beto O’Rourke, third favourite for WH2020, gets closer to putting his hat into the ring

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Is he the white Obama? The biggest UK political betting market continues to be the US presidential election in 2020 and overnight there have been big developments with Beto O’Rourke saying that he isn’t rulling out a bid. He had said on repeated occasions that he would not seek the Presidency at the next election but in a town hall meeting last night in his home city of El Paso he suggested that he is now open to a presidential…

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The PB MidTerms Prize Competition – did you get closest to the O’Rourke vote share?

The PB MidTerms Prize Competition – did you get closest to the O’Rourke vote share?

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Meanwhile the money goes on O’Rourke for WH2020 Exactly a month ago we launched the PB Prize Midterms competition with the question being: What will be the vote share (to 2 decimal points) of the Texas Democratic candidate, Beto O’Rourke, in the election set for four weeks on Tuesday? It was noted then that “Because it can take some time for final vote share in US elections to be determined this competition will be settled on the vote shares the…

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The restoration of Florida felons’ voting rights could tip the balance against GOP at WH2020

The restoration of Florida felons’ voting rights could tip the balance against GOP at WH2020

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We all know how Florida can have a huge impact on presidential elections and that it is always a tight race there. Overnight the incumbent Democratic Senator was ousted and replaced by a Republican winning by a very small margin. One of the other things that the state voted on yesterday was Amendment 4 which restores voting rights to 1.4 million people in Florida with past convictions.  The outcome, which required a 60%+ vote, restores the voting rights specifically to felons not…

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Beto O’Rourke: not the new Lincoln but perhaps following in his footsteps

Beto O’Rourke: not the new Lincoln but perhaps following in his footsteps

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Could losing an election be the best thing to happen to the 25/1 shot? These are not normal times. In normal times, US presidential candidates are vice presidents, senators and governors: people who already have a record in high office. There have always been exceptions but even then, they usually conformed to the rule in a wider sense. Trump does not conform to the rule. Indeed, Trump fails to conform to many received rules of politics. The easy conclusion would…

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If you think Beto O’Rourke is going to win Texas in November then these might make for good bets

If you think Beto O’Rourke is going to win Texas in November then these might make for good bets

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The Dems winning Texas in a Presidential election changes the electoral maths. In recent times Texas has been a safe banker for the GOP but demographics are trending back to the Dems, so what might help tip the balance is if the Dems choose a native son or daughter to be their nominee. If you think Beto O’Rourke is going to win his Senate battle this autumn then looking at him being a future Presidential nominee seems logical. Tying up…

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