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Category: WHITE HOUSE RACE

The money goes on a 78 year old to take on a 74 year old at WH2020

The money goes on a 78 year old to take on a 74 year old at WH2020

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Betdata.io chart of movement on the Betfair exchange I remain to be convinced by Biden With interest in Brexit itself having subsided for the moment and with the Euro elections not taking place for another three weeks the top betting markets, in terms of volume, at the moment are on the 2020 White House Race. The big question is who will the Democrats choose to take on Trump? Last week the former Obama vice president, Joe Biden, put his hat…

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Biden is polling far better in the national primary surveys than in the first two states to decide

Biden is polling far better in the national primary surveys than in the first two states to decide

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With Obama’s former VP, 76 year old Joe Biden, today entering the race for the WH2020 Democratic nomination he does so from a position of strength in national polls of party voters. The chart shows the latest Real Clear Politics polling average national lead for Joe Biden over Bernie Sanders and Pete butcher Jack compared with the latest surveys in Iowa and New Hampshire. These are, of course, the first two to decide and where all the active presidential campaigns…

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Biden drops 15 in new Democrat primary poll as Mayor Pete moves to within 4%

Biden drops 15 in new Democrat primary poll as Mayor Pete moves to within 4%

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The former VP seems to be most affected by the rise of Buttigieg In the first democratic primary polls carried out since last weekend when Mayor Pete enters the race formally at a big rally in his home city there’s a new national poll that has good news for him and bad news for Joe Biden, the former vice president, who has yet to declare. Biden is still in the lead – just. When the pollster Change Research last looked…

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In the fight for the WH2020 Democratic nomination 37 year old Mayor Pete moves to 3rd in the betting

In the fight for the WH2020 Democratic nomination 37 year old Mayor Pete moves to 3rd in the betting

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Betdata.io chart of movement on the Betfair exchange But will the bubble burst? One of the quite extraordinary features of the fight for the Democratic nomination to take on Donald Trump has been the rise and rise of a 37 year old Harvard graduate and Afghanistan veteran from South Bend Indiana, Pete Buttigieg,  who’s now moved to third in the betting behind Bernie Sanders and Kamala Harris. He’s currently Mayor of his home city. This followed his formal entry into…

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The first thing Trump’s likely to do when Jo Biden finally declares is to dub the former VP “copycat”

The first thing Trump’s likely to do when Jo Biden finally declares is to dub the former VP “copycat”

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The man who copied almost word for word a Neil Kinnock ad A new US  poll has Joe Biden beating Trump by 7% in a WH2020 match-up which puts him in the best position of all the Democrats who are seeking the nomination. In the RCP polling average he’s 5.8% ahead of his closest rival  even though he has yet to formally declare. In the betting he’s favourite although the top 4 are all within three points. Of course Biden,…

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Pete Buttigieg – the 37 year old former Rhodes Scholar now running 3rd in Iowa

Pete Buttigieg – the 37 year old former Rhodes Scholar now running 3rd in Iowa

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Probably worth a punt as a good long shot A new poll for next year’s Iowa caucuses is just out and puts a 37 year old former Rhodes Scholar from Indiana who you have probably never heard of in 3rd place. He’s Pete Buttigieg and the polling reflects the fact that over the last few days he’s been the hottest property on  US political TV shows. He’s telegenic, personable, articulate, gay and almost exactly half the age of front runners…

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Key fact: Biden leads the Dem 2020 polling despite not yet running

Key fact: Biden leads the Dem 2020 polling despite not yet running

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RealClearPolitics This is more than name recognition: he’s very viable candidate One reason above all others convinced me in October 2015 that Donald Trump should be taken seriously as a presidential candidate: his performance in the opinion polls. It was easy to write him off as an amateur with a penchant for controversy and self-publicity; someone who would be overtaken by both his own absurdity and by professional politicians come the actual voting in the primaries. Easy but wrong, and…

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Trump’s WH2016 victory could be the last time the national popular vote loser becomes President

Trump’s WH2016 victory could be the last time the national popular vote loser becomes President

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Map 2702win.com State moves are afoot to by-pass the electoral college We all know that in November 2016 Donald Trump won the White House Race even though in terms of the national popular vote he had 3.1% fewer votes overall than Hillary Clinton. This was not the first time this has happened. The actual decision on who should be President is determined by members of the electoral College which features in the map above. The numbers in each box are…

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