Biden’s poll lead over Trump is getting wider and his betting position remains strong
And in the betting
Biden moves up even more in the WH2020 betting with latest polls giving him double digit leads
It has been a remarkably good few days for Joe Biden in the White House race betting as can be seen in the chart above. He is now as strong a favourite as he ever has been with the money going on him and punters becoming more sceptical about the incumbent. This has been a period, of course, which has been dominated by the huge demonstrations across America and even the world following the murder by the police of the…
Klobuchar sees big move to her in the WH2020 Dem VP betting
By far the most active political betting market at the moment is on who will be the Democratic nomination for VP – a job, given Biden’s age, could be a huge stepping stone to becoming President. This was all triggered by this report from CBS News Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN) “has been asked by Joe Biden to undergo a formal vetting to be considered as his vice presidential running mate, one of several potential contenders now being scrutinized by his…
Jo Biden’s VP pick – why we shouldn’t rule out Elizabeth Warren
In recent weeks the Senator from Massachusetts, Elizabeth Warren, has appeared to be falling back in the race to become the vice presidential nominee for the Democrats at the White House election in November. In the betting she’s now dropped to third favourite behind Harris and Klobuchar. A big problem is that if she became VP she could no longer serve as a senator and for a few months the decision on who should represent state in her position would…
Joe Biden’s VP pick – the case for Amy Klobuchar
On Saturday we launched a series of posts on the various possibilities for Joe Biden as he ponders on who to choose for the VP slot on the ticket for WH2020. The second favourite in the betting is the Minnesota Senator, Amy Klobuchar, who pulled out of her White House bid to back Biden just before Super Tuesday. On Betfair Klobuchar is rated as a 22% chance and is in the second favourite slot for the VP nomination. There’s been…
From a betting perspective the dangers of “fighting the last war”
On Boxing Day last year, a fortnight after the Tories won an 80 seat majority, a delighted family friend declared over lunch “I couldn’t believe the result. Politics has been so unpredictable, and no-one thought Boris would win big!” He was wrong, but not completely. Despite double-digit poll leads the media had speculated about hung parliaments a hell of a lot and the betting markets had the Tories as surprisingly modest favourites. Longer than 1/2 on a majority of any…
If you stayed up for the Iowa poll it isn’t going to be released
The poll isn't going to get released. Des Moines Register CNN cancels release of Iowa Poll over respondent concerns https://t.co/FdCUVys5Hm — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 2, 2020 This is from the statement from the paper. The Des Moines Register, CNN and Selzer & Co. have made the decision to not release the final installment of the CNN/Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll as planned this evening. Nothing is more important to the Register and its polling partners than the integrity of the…
Buttigieg’s powerful new argument two weeks before Iowa : When the Dems choose an old insider they lose
Their White House winners in recent times have been with young outsiders I’ve just had an email from an old acquaintance who has recently visited Iowa where he attended a packed Pete Buttigieg meeting, asked questions of the young contender and got himself a selfie. This is from his email. He said one thing that interested me: The Dems always do better when they have someone who is new to the National Stage – Obama, Clinton, even Carter, for example,…