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Category: Hillary Clinton

There could be double trouble for the markets if Trump does manage to win

There could be double trouble for the markets if Trump does manage to win

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Adam Jepsen on how markets might reaction to Trump doing it At the moment, it looks like Hillary Clinton is firmly priced-in to be the next President and that might be a reasonable assumption. However, the markets appear to be far too complacent with regards to the risk of Donald Trump becoming President. In fact, during the whole campaign the markets have been unfazed by the Republican. While the US dollar did strengthen after Clinton had a solid first Presidential TV…

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The big hope for Trump now is that there will be a polling fail as large as in the UK at GE2015

The big hope for Trump now is that there will be a polling fail as large as in the UK at GE2015

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But the signs from US early voting seems to back up the polls Twelve days to go before the US elects Barack Obama’s successor and so far at least the polling both national and in the key swing states suggests a return to the White House after a gap of 16 years for Hillary Clinton. This time, of course, as President not as First Lady. Following the wobble in August and September ahead of the first TV debate her polling…

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Hillary Clinton is winning this election because it has become a referendum on Donald Trump

Hillary Clinton is winning this election because it has become a referendum on Donald Trump

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Trump is too thin-skinned for his own good I’ve just got back from Brussels where Matthew Shaddick (the famous Shadsy of Ladbrokes) and I gave presentations about betting on politics which is almost certainly more advanced in the UK than anywhere else in the world. Of course BREXIT is still a big focus but we sought to look forward to November 8th when America decides. I’m just catching up with events in WH2016 and there’s lots of interesting insight and…

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Great (Br)expectations, why Tories don’t want a snap election and the Clinton ’surge’ – this week’s PB/Polling Matters TV Show & Podcast

Great (Br)expectations, why Tories don’t want a snap election and the Clinton ’surge’ – this week’s PB/Polling Matters TV Show & Podcast

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Can TMay really meet what voters are expecting from BREXIT This week Kieran Pedley and his guests, Rob Vance and Matt Singh, on the PB/Polling Matters TV Show & Podcast focus mostly on the Tories and the big issue that looks set to determine whether TMay is successful – the BREXIT negotiations. The polling suggests that people are expecting a lot and is the new PM going to have to disappoint? Then there’s all the talk of a snap election…

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The impact of the 1st debate on WH2016 & the prospects now for Corbyn: this week’s PB/Polling Matters TV show/podcast

The impact of the 1st debate on WH2016 & the prospects now for Corbyn: this week’s PB/Polling Matters TV show/podcast

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After a big few days in both UK and US politics the PB/Polling Matters looks in detail at the impact of Corbyn’s re-election and where the Trump-Clinton battle stands now. How much importance should we attach to the instant post debate polling and in the UK is there any way that Corbyn can now move forward following his convincing leadership victory. Joining Keiran Pedley (@keiranpedley) are Rob Vance (@robvance) and Leo (@leobarasi) Rob highights the post debate polling showing a…

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The WH2016 betting moves markedly back to Clinton after convincing first debate performance

The WH2016 betting moves markedly back to Clinton after convincing first debate performance

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On Betfair it is now Clinton 68% Trump 30% Well over £3m was traded on Betfair as the market moves back to Hillary Clinton following a confident first debate performance against Donald Trump. This is how Taegan Goddard of Political Wire summed up the night’s event: “. Clinton was particularly effective when needling him on not releasing his tax returns, saying, “Why won’t he release his tax returns? Maybe he’s not as rich as he says he is.” Trump couldn’t…

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Tonight’s the big one in WH2016 and the betting could be turned on its head

Tonight’s the big one in WH2016 and the betting could be turned on its head

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In previous White House Races the first debate has been seen as a sort of official start to hostilities. This is said to be the point when voters start to get engaged. This time that is much less so because public interest in the fight to succeed Obama has been far higher than anything we’ve seen before. The fight for the GOP nomination saw the biggest TV debate audiences ever and records are expected to be broken overnight. The reason…

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Punters continue to make Clinton a 60%+ chance even though the polling remains very tight

Punters continue to make Clinton a 60%+ chance even though the polling remains very tight

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Clinton recovering a bit in latest national polls but this battle is still very tight.On Monday it's the 1st debate pic.twitter.com/7AXiPfEwOE — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 23, 2016 Latest Betfair Exchange WH2016 prices pic.twitter.com/q6lUDmgcfJ — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 23, 2016 Just three days to go before the first WH2016 debate This is, of course, all about the outcomes in the key swing states but the national surveys gives us a good overview of the election that takes place in…

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