Browsed by
Category: David Cameron

Two new EURef polls just published show IN improving its position against OUT

Two new EURef polls just published show IN improving its position against OUT

Comments 0 Comment

UPDATED with tonight's EURef polls. Table of all recent published surveys pic.twitter.com/Gpfh41vdss — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 23, 2016 Although the phone and online polls showing very different headline numbers the trend is the same – a move to IN since Cameron's deal. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 23, 2016 Tweets on the YouGov/Times poll Interesting thing about tonight's YouGov poll is no Boris bounce, and support for EU renegotiation much higher than support for draft deal — Sam Coates…

Read More Read More

The Bullingdon boys go into battle and it ain’t going to be pretty

The Bullingdon boys go into battle and it ain’t going to be pretty

Comments 0 Comment

Dave v Boris will dominate the next four months Cracking Cameron performance today in Commons. Sure a PM has the advantage on these occasions, but he used it. Boris looking a bit crumpled. — Iain Martin (@iainmartin1) February 22, 2016 We’ve always known that Dave is at his best when his back is to the wall and that’s how it must have seen this morning with the massive media coverage of the decision by Boris to back LEAVE. His performance…

Read More Read More

So it’s on. In just four months Britain will vote whether to stay or leave

So it’s on. In just four months Britain will vote whether to stay or leave

Comments 0 Comment

Punters make IN a 70% chance So the starting gun has been fired on the EU membership referendum which will take place as planned on June 23rd. This is just 4 months away. It means that the referendum campaign will in many ways be running at the same time as the Scottish Welsh and of course London elections which happen at the start of May. What’s been striking today is the range of coordinated activity on the part of the…

Read More Read More

Deal done – and combined with LEAVE’s Galloway error of judgment, it might be enough

Deal done – and combined with LEAVE’s Galloway error of judgment, it might be enough

Comments 0 Comment

The initiative swings back to Remain But for Tony Marlow’s blazer, Michael Portillo might have ended up prime minister rather than a rail-hopping TV presenter. To have done so, he needed John Redwood to do sufficiently well in the first round of the Conservative Party leadership election against John Major. Redwood, however, never really recovered from his initial press conference when he “was lost in a mass of eccentric jackets and lime-green silk”, as Major put it. That one press…

Read More Read More

Founder of ConHome, Tim Montgomerie, quits the Tories over Cameron’s EU stance

Founder of ConHome, Tim Montgomerie, quits the Tories over Cameron’s EU stance

Comments 0 Comment

A sign of splits to come in the blue team? The political blogging pioneer and former chief of staff to IDS, Tim Montgomerie, announced overnight that he was quitting the party over Cameron’s stance on the EU. This clearly was a carefully timed announcement designed to have an impact. I’ve known Tim for a long time and have great respect for his journalistic and political skills. He founded ConservativeHome in the immediate aftermath of Tony Blair’s third LAB victory in…

Read More Read More

William Hill makes it 7/1 that Cameron will step down this year

William Hill makes it 7/1 that Cameron will step down this year

Comments 0 Comment

A good bet not? William Hill say political punters have been backing David Cameron to stand down as Tory leader either this year or next, in anticipation of either a defeat or only narrow win in the EU Referendum, which has to take place before the end of 2017. Hills currently offer 7/1 that Cameron will stand down this year, and 10/1 that he’ll go next. It is a 4/11 chance that the Referendum produces a ‘Stay’ result, 2/1 that…

Read More Read More

YouGov has LEAVE lead up to 9% in survey taken immediately after this week’s key referendum talks

YouGov has LEAVE lead up to 9% in survey taken immediately after this week’s key referendum talks

Comments 0 Comment

On Betfair REMAIN drops a notch to a 66.7% chance So far in the referendum campaign members of the YouGov have been tending to be more in favour of BREXIT than those most other online firms and certainly there’s a massive gap between YouGov and the EURef phone polls. However the events of this week and the coverage they’ve been getting have not been good for Cameron’s position on the vote that is reported to be being planned for June…

Read More Read More