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Category: David Cameron

Is it time to be betting on an Andrew Mitchell comeback?

Is it time to be betting on an Andrew Mitchell comeback?

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Will Cameron now give Andrew Mitchell his old job back? twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 19, 2012 The Sun stands by our initial #plebgate story. — Tom Newton Dunn (@tnewtondunn) December 18, 2012 What’s Dave going to do? If the Channel 4 allegations the “Plebgate” affair are found to be accurate, and I for one found Michael Crick’s report convincing, then the PM will be under pressure to reinstate Andrew Mitchell to his old job as soon as possible….

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Lord Ashcroft: The UKIP threat is not about Europe

Lord Ashcroft: The UKIP threat is not about Europe

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Following on from last night’s phone polls from Populus and ComRes which showed UKIP  vote share increasing with the phone pollsters, Lord Ashcroft has published some polling on UKIP, from which we learn [The] research finds that 12% of those who voted Tory in 2010 now say they would vote UKIP in an election tomorrow. Half of all those who would consider voting UKIP supported the Conservatives at the last election. The graphic below shows which of the following issues is the most important…

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Now might be a good moment to look at the Dave replacement betting

Now might be a good moment to look at the Dave replacement betting

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Michael Gove now the leading MP in thebetting for next Tory leader. Boris is favourite but currently ineligible twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 16, 2012 Is the incumbent really so secure? For me striking feature on PB this weekend has that one of the site’s posters who has been an unwavering Cameron-loyalist has become the latest to turn, Certainly Dave’s circle of close supporters at Westminster appears to be getting smaller and I just wonder whether we might see…

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Maria Miller now 3-1 favourite with Ladbrokes to be next cabinet exit

Maria Miller now 3-1 favourite with Ladbrokes to be next cabinet exit

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Maria Miller expenses inquiry launched. She’s 3/1 FAV for next Cabinet exit.bbc.in/UFLF5p twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 13, 2012 Can she go on implementing Leveson? Yesterday when the Maria Miller expenses story with the apparent threats to the Telegraph broke I considered betting on her for next cabinet exit. Ladbrokes then had her at 12/1 but I held back. Today the price has moved in to 3/1 and she’s become favourite in what is the bookies’ favourite political betting…

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Adam Boulton fires the first salvo in the 2015 leadership debates battle

Adam Boulton fires the first salvo in the 2015 leadership debates battle

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Cameron doesn’t do extended interviews (except Marr), he doesn’t do monthly news conferences, now blowing cold on debates – accountable? — Adam Boulton (@adamboultonSKY) December 11, 2012 Cameron’s reluctance might not be good politics The Tweet this morning from Sky TV’s political editor, Adam Boulton, should worry Downing Street. For Boulton has broadened Dave’s desire not to repeat the 2010 TV debates experience into a general attack on the PM’s accountability as PM in a manner that could run and…

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Dave could be facing a big challenge winning support for press control without legislation

Dave could be facing a big challenge winning support for press control without legislation

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The first post Leveson report poll suggests that Cameron might be on the wrong side of public opinion. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 2, 2012 First Leveson polling reaction: By 50-29%, people tell YouGov that Cameron was wrong to oppose Leveson’s proposals for new legislation — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 1, 2012 By 50-26%, those sampled by YouGov think Clegg was right to back Leveson’s proposal. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 1, 2012 By 46-32%, people tell YouGov that…

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Leveson – are we heading for statutory independent press regulator?

Leveson – are we heading for statutory independent press regulator?

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Revised chart showing support in YouGov poll for statutory press regulation broken down by newspapers read. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 28, 2012 The report’s out at 1pm tomorrow Thursday looks set to be a big political day with three Westminster by-elections and the publication of the Leveson report. Dave got his copy this morning and no doubt they’ll be working hard on his response planned for tomorrow afternoon. One possible issue is that the PM and DPM could…

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Lynton Crosby’s biggest challenge? Turning round Dave’s “In touch with concerns of ordinary people” ratings

Lynton Crosby’s biggest challenge? Turning round Dave’s “In touch with concerns of ordinary people” ratings

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David Cameron’s YouGov “In touch with ordinary people” ratings Oct 2007 – Nov 2012 twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 23, 2012 This has to be solved or the Tories have a Romney-type problem Looking back over the last months of the White House race the biggest problem the Republicans had was that their standard-bearer was not seen as being in touch or understanding the problems of the middle classes. This became the peg on which Obama’s successful get the…

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